Value bet: Gimcheon Sangmu FC to win @ 3.70 – our chance 30% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultIncheon United to win ✗47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.28
Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gimcheon Sangmu FC travel to face Incheon United on Sunday 16 August in the K League 1, with Sungui Arena Park the venue – the ball rolls at 11:30 WAT. In the table, Incheon United are 6th on 49 points after 35 matches; Gimcheon Sangmu FC are 10th with 38.
Current form
Incheon United, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Jeju United FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Gimcheon Sangmu FC, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with FC Seoul, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Gimcheon Sangmu FC, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Incheon United.
Head to head
When they last met (9 May 2026) it ended Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0–3 Incheon United. The last 2 head-to-heads: Incheon United 2 wins, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Incheon United 1.4 xG, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Incheon United 47%, draw 23%, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 30%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Gimcheon Sangmu FC to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Incheon United 1–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Incheon United47%fair 2.11 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.30
Gimcheon Sangmu FC30%fair 3.33 · @3.70
2.43Expected goals
1.39Incheon United xG
1.03Gimcheon Sangmu FC xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–09%
2–09%
From our goals model: Incheon United 1.4 – 1.0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
On our numbers Incheon United have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gimcheon Sangmu FC 30%.
How many goals will there be in Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
Our predicted score is Incheon United 1–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC (K League 1) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Sungui Arena Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
