Value bet: Gimcheon Sangmu FC to win @ 2.70 – our chance 39% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGimcheon Sangmu FC to win ✗39% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.71
Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:30 WAT, Saturday 22 August: Jeju United FC v Gimcheon Sangmu FC in the K League 1, played at Jeju World Cup Stadium. In the table, Jeju United FC are 7th on 48 points after 35 matches; Gimcheon Sangmu FC are 10th with 38.
Current form
Jeju United FC, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC Anyang, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Gimcheon Sangmu FC, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Gimpo Citizen, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Gimcheon Sangmu FC, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Jeju United FC.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Jul 2026) it ended Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–1 Jeju United FC. The last 2 head-to-heads: Jeju United FC 0 wins, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jeju United FC 1.2 xG, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jeju United FC 38%, draw 23%, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 39%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Gimcheon Sangmu FC to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jeju United FC 1–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jeju United FC38%fair 2.66 · @2.60
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.20
Gimcheon Sangmu FC39%fair 2.55 · @2.70
2.36Expected goals
1.16Jeju United FC xG
1.20Gimcheon Sangmu FC xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Jeju United FC 1.2 – 1.2 Gimcheon Sangmu FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
On our numbers Jeju United FC have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gimcheon Sangmu FC 39%.
How many goals will there be in Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
Our predicted score is Jeju United FC 1–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC (K League 1) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Jeju World Cup Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
