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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gangwon FC v Gwangju FC: numbers & prediction

K League 1 · South-Korea · Chuncheon Songam Stadium

Gangwon FC

LDWDL
2–2
FT

Gwangju FC

LWLDL
Gangwon FC 63%Draw 25%Gwangju FC 13% Expected goals 1.78 – 0.69
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultGangwon FC to win ✗63% · @1.50
Double chanceGangwon FC or draw ✓87% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.84

Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Gwangju FC travel to face Gangwon FC on Wednesday 26 August in the K League 1, with Chuncheon Songam Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 11:30 WAT. In the table, Gangwon FC are 4th on 51 points after 35 matches; Gwangju FC are 12th with 23. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Gangwon FC, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Daejeon Citizen, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Gwangju FC, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Incheon United, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (9 May 2026) it ended Gwangju FC 0–0 Gangwon FC. The last 2 head-to-heads: Gangwon FC 1 win, Gwangju FC 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gangwon FC 1.8 xG, Gwangju FC 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gangwon FC 63%, draw 25%, Gwangju FC 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gangwon FC 1–0 Gwangju FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gangwon FC63%fair 1.60 · @1.50
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.85
Gwangju FC13%fair 7.83 · @6.80
2.47Expected goals
1.78Gangwon FC xG
0.69Gwangju FC xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%

From our goals model: Gangwon FC 1.8 – 0.7 Gwangju FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGangwon FC to win ✗63%1.601.50
Double chanceGangwon FC or draw ✓87%1.151.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.962.05
Draw no betGangwon FC (draw no bet)83%1.20–
Asian handicapGangwon FC -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.431.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.851.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75%1.331.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.09
First team to scoreGangwon FC to score first ✗66%1.51–
Half-time resultGangwon FC ahead at half-time ✗44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gangwon FC / FT Gangwon FC ✗40%2.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.84–

Recent results

Gangwon FC – last 6

LDWDLL
23 Aug@ Daejeon Citizen0–3L
19 Augvs Seongnam FC0–0D
16 Aug@ Ulsan Hyundai FC3–2W
11 Augvs Gamba Osaka0–0D
1 Augvs Bucheon FC 19950–3L
26 Jul@ FC Anyang1–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Gwangju FC – last 6

LWLDLW
23 Augvs Incheon United0–1L
19 Aug@ Ulsan Citizen1–0W
15 Augvs Pohang Steelers1–2L
8 Aug@ Bucheon FC 19950–0D
2 Aug@ Daejeon Citizen0–2L
29 Julvs Cheonan City1–0W
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 May 2026Gwangju FC v Gangwon FC0–0
4 Apr 2026Gangwon FC v Gwangju FC3–0
Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC head-to-head page →

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Seoul332076+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC3315612+551
3Daejeon Citizen33131010+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors3312129+1048
5Gangwon FC3311157+1048
6Incheon United33121011+846
7Jeju United FC33121011+246
8FC Anyang33101310-843
9Pohang Steelers3311913-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC335199-834
11Bucheon FC 19953371115-1532
12Gwangju FC3331218-3921

More K League 1 predictions

League hub
FT FC Anyang2 Incheon United1 133%3.10X23%3.20244%2.30 1.2–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓
FT Daejeon Citizen2 Ulsan Hyundai FC1 143%2.25X21%3.55235%2.90 1.5–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC?

On our numbers Gangwon FC have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gwangju FC 13%.

How many goals will there be in Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC?

Our predicted score is Gangwon FC 1–0 Gwangju FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC?

Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC (K League 1) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Chuncheon Songam Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.