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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Incheon United v Pohang Steelers: numbers & prediction

K League 1 · South-Korea · Incheon Football Stadium
3–0
FT
Incheon United 38%Draw 25%Pohang Steelers 37% Expected goals 1.10 – 1.08
52%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.91 · bookmaker 2.05 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
2.05Odds
2

Value bet: Pohang Steelers to win @ 3.25 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultIncheon United to win ✓38% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.49

Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Incheon United welcome Pohang Steelers to Incheon Football Stadium for a K League 1 fixture on Friday 9 October (08:30 WAT). In the table, Incheon United are 6th on 49 points after 35 matches; Pohang Steelers are 9th with 44.

Current form

Incheon United, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Gangwon FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Pohang Steelers, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FC Seoul, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (12 May 2026) it ended Incheon United 0–1 Pohang Steelers. The last 2 head-to-heads: Incheon United 0 wins, Pohang Steelers 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Incheon United 1.1 xG, Pohang Steelers 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Incheon United 38%, draw 25%, Pohang Steelers 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Pohang Steelers to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.91, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Incheon United 1–1 Pohang Steelers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Incheon United38%fair 2.61 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @2.90
Pohang Steelers37%fair 2.71 · @3.25
2.18Expected goals
1.10Incheon United xG
1.08Pohang Steelers xG
52%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–17%
1–27%

From our goals model: Incheon United 1.1 – 1.1 Pohang Steelers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIncheon United to win ✓38%2.612.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.912.05 ▲
Draw no betIncheon United (draw no bet) ✓51%1.96–
Asian handicapPohang Steelers +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.21–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreIncheon United to score first ✓45%2.23–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Incheon United / FT Incheon United ✓20%4.94–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%13.49–

Recent results

Incheon United – last 6

DDLWLD
27 Sep@ Gangwon FC0–0D
20 Sepvs Daejeon Citizen1–1D
12 Sep@ Ulsan Hyundai FC1–2L
8 Sepvs Bucheon FC 19952–1W
5 Sep@ FC Seoul0–1L
30 Augvs Jeonbuk Motors1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Pohang Steelers – last 6

WLDDLD
20 Sepvs FC Seoul2–1W
15 Sep@ Beijing Guoan1–3L
12 Sep@ Daejeon Citizen2–2D
9 Sepvs Gimcheon Sangmu FC0–0D
5 Sep@ Jeonbuk Motors0–2L
30 Aug@ Gangwon FC0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 May 2026Incheon United v Pohang Steelers0–1
15 Mar 2026Pohang Steelers v Incheon United1–1
Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers head-to-head page →

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Seoul332076+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC3315612+551
3Daejeon Citizen33131010+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors3312129+1048
5Gangwon FC3311157+1048
6Incheon United33121011+846
7Jeju United FC33121011+246
8FC Anyang33101310-843
9Pohang Steelers3311913-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC335199-834
11Bucheon FC 19953371115-1532
12Gwangju FC3331218-3921

More K League 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.

Who will win Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers?

On our numbers Incheon United have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pohang Steelers 37%.

How many goals will there be in Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers?

Our predicted score is Incheon United 1–1 Pohang Steelers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers?

Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers (K League 1) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Incheon Football Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.