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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gwangju FC v Ulsan Hyundai FC: numbers & prediction

K League 1 · South-Korea · Gwangju Football Stadium
4–3
FT
Gwangju FC 15%Draw 24%Ulsan Hyundai FC 61% Expected goals 0.88 – 1.94
61%
Betarazi pick

Ulsan Hyundai FC to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultUlsan Hyundai FC to win ✗61% · @1.65
Double chanceUlsan Hyundai FC or draw ✗85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.14

Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 11 October the K League 1 brings Gwangju FC against Ulsan Hyundai FC at Gwangju Football Stadium. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT. In the table, Gwangju FC are 12th on 23 points after 35 matches; Ulsan Hyundai FC are 2nd with 57. There are 34 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Gwangju FC, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Jeonbuk Motors, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Ulsan Hyundai FC, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC Anyang, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Ulsan Hyundai FC, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Gwangju FC.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Jul 2026) it ended Gwangju FC 1–1 Ulsan Hyundai FC. The last 2 head-to-heads: Gwangju FC 0 wins, Ulsan Hyundai FC 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gwangju FC 0.9 xG, Ulsan Hyundai FC 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gwangju FC 15%, draw 24%, Ulsan Hyundai FC 61%.
  • Lower-risk option: Ulsan Hyundai FC or draw (85%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Ulsan Hyundai FC to win (61%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gwangju FC 0–1 Ulsan Hyundai FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gwangju FC15%fair 6.79 · @4.50
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.90
Ulsan Hyundai FC61%fair 1.64 · @1.65
2.82Expected goals
0.88Gwangju FC xG
1.94Ulsan Hyundai FC xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%

From our goals model: Gwangju FC 0.9 – 1.9 Ulsan Hyundai FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUlsan Hyundai FC to win ✗61%1.641.65
Double chanceUlsan Hyundai FC or draw ✗85%1.171.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.62
Draw no betUlsan Hyundai FC (draw no bet) ✗81%1.24–
Asian handicapUlsan Hyundai FC -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.87–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗84%1.18–
First team to scoreUlsan Hyundai FC to score first65%1.54–
Half-time resultUlsan Hyundai FC ahead at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ulsan Hyundai FC / FT Ulsan Hyundai FC ✗40%2.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.14–

Recent results

Gwangju FC – last 6

DDLDLD
20 Sep@ Jeonbuk Motors2–2D
13 Sepvs FC Anyang1–1D
9 Sepvs Jeju United FC0–1L
6 Sep@ Gimcheon Sangmu FC2–2D
30 Augvs FC Seoul2–5L
26 Aug@ Gangwon FC2–2D
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Ulsan Hyundai FC – last 6

LWWDWL
19 Sep@ FC Anyang1–2L
12 Sepvs Incheon United2–1W
8 Sepvs FC Seoul1–0W
5 Sep@ Jeju United FC0–0D
29 Augvs Gimcheon Sangmu FC3–1W
26 Aug@ Daejeon Citizen1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Jul 2026Gwangju FC v Ulsan Hyundai FC1–1
19 Apr 2026Ulsan Hyundai FC v Gwangju FC5–1
Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC head-to-head page →

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Seoul332076+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC3315612+551
3Daejeon Citizen33131010+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors3312129+1048
5Gangwon FC3311157+1048
6Incheon United33121011+846
7Jeju United FC33121011+246
8FC Anyang33101310-843
9Pohang Steelers3311913-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC335199-834
11Bucheon FC 19953371115-1532
12Gwangju FC3331218-3921

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC?

Our pick is Ulsan Hyundai FC to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC?

On our numbers Gwangju FC have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ulsan Hyundai FC 61%.

How many goals will there be in Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC?

Our predicted score is Gwangju FC 0–1 Ulsan Hyundai FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC?

Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC (K League 1) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Gwangju Football Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.