Daejeon Citizen 65%Draw 19%Gwangju FC 16%Expected goals 1.99 – 0.86
65%
Betarazi pick
Daejeon Citizen to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Picks by market
ResultDaejeon Citizen to win ✓65% · @1.36
Double chanceDaejeon Citizen or draw ✓84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Daejeon Citizen welcome Gwangju FC to Daejeon World Cup Stadium for a K League 1 fixture on Sunday 18 October (06:00 WAT). In the table, Daejeon Citizen are 3rd on 53 points after 35 matches; Gwangju FC are 12th with 23. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Daejeon Citizen, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with SHANGHAI SIPG, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Gwangju FC, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Ulsan Hyundai FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Daejeon Citizen, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Gwangju FC.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Aug 2026) it ended Daejeon Citizen 2–0 Gwangju FC. The last 2 head-to-heads: Daejeon Citizen 2 wins, Gwangju FC 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Daejeon Citizen 2.0 xG, Gwangju FC 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Daejeon Citizen 65%, draw 19%, Gwangju FC 16%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Daejeon Citizen to win (65%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Daejeon Citizen 1–0 Gwangju FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Daejeon Citizen65%fair 1.54 · @1.36
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @4.75
Gwangju FC16%fair 6.17 · @6.50
2.85Expected goals
1.99Daejeon Citizen xG
0.86Gwangju FC xG
55%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Daejeon Citizen 2.0 – 0.9 Gwangju FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC?
Our pick is Daejeon Citizen to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC?
On our numbers Daejeon Citizen have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Gwangju FC 16%.
How many goals will there be in Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC?
Our predicted score is Daejeon Citizen 1–0 Gwangju FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC?
Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC (K League 1) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Daejeon World Cup Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
