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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Incheon United v Jeju United FC: numbers & prediction

K League 1 · South-Korea · Incheon Football Stadium
3–1
FT
Incheon United 43%Draw 24%Jeju United FC 33% Expected goals 1.23 – 1.05
50%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.99 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.85Odds
2

Value bet: Jeju United FC to win @ 3.20 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultIncheon United to win ✓43% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.28

Incheon United vs Jeju United FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Jeju United FC travel to face Incheon United on Saturday 24 October in the K League 1, with Incheon Football Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 06:00 WAT. In the table, Incheon United are 6th on 49 points after 35 matches; Jeju United FC are 7th with 48. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Incheon United, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gangwon FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Jeju United FC, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Jeonbuk Motors, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Aug 2026) it ended Jeju United FC 3–3 Incheon United. The last 2 head-to-heads: Incheon United 1 win, Jeju United FC 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Incheon United 1.2 xG, Jeju United FC 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Incheon United 43%, draw 24%, Jeju United FC 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Jeju United FC to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 33%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Incheon United 1–1 Jeju United FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Incheon United43%fair 2.35 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.00
Jeju United FC33%fair 3.01 · @3.20
2.28Expected goals
1.23Incheon United xG
1.05Jeju United FC xG
50%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Incheon United 1.2 – 1.0 Jeju United FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIncheon United to win ✓43%2.352.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%1.991.85
Draw no betIncheon United (draw no bet) ✓56%1.78–
Asian handicapJeju United FC +1 (Asian handicap) ✗77%1.30–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.50–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreIncheon United to score first49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Incheon United / FT Incheon United ✗23%4.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.28–

Recent results

Incheon United – last 6

DWDDLW
18 Oct@ Gangwon FC1–1D
9 Octvs Pohang Steelers3–0W
27 Sep@ Gangwon FC0–0D
20 Sepvs Daejeon Citizen1–1D
12 Sep@ Ulsan Hyundai FC1–2L
8 Sepvs Bucheon FC 19952–1W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Jeju United FC – last 6

LLWDWD
18 Oct@ Jeonbuk Motors2–3L
10 Oct@ FC Seoul1–2L
20 Sep@ Gangwon FC1–0W
12 Sep@ Bucheon FC 19952–2D
9 Sep@ Gwangju FC1–0W
5 Sepvs Ulsan Hyundai FC0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Aug 2026Jeju United FC v Incheon United3–3
25 Apr 2026Incheon United v Jeju United FC1–0
Incheon United vs Jeju United FC head-to-head page →

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Seoul332076+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC3315612+551
3Daejeon Citizen33131010+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors3312129+1048
5Gangwon FC3311157+1048
6Incheon United33121011+846
7Jeju United FC33121011+246
8FC Anyang33101310-843
9Pohang Steelers3311913-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC335199-834
11Bucheon FC 19953371115-1532
12Gwangju FC3331218-3921

More K League 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Incheon United vs Jeju United FC?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Incheon United vs Jeju United FC?

On our numbers Incheon United have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Jeju United FC 33%.

How many goals will there be in Incheon United vs Jeju United FC?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Incheon United vs Jeju United FC?

Our predicted score is Incheon United 1–1 Jeju United FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Incheon United vs Jeju United FC?

Incheon United vs Jeju United FC (K League 1) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Incheon Football Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.