Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Lokomotivi Tbilisi to win @ 3.10 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMerani Tbilisi to win ✓44% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.26
Merani Tbilisi vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Merani Tbilisi welcome Lokomotivi Tbilisi for a Liga 3 fixture on Sunday 3 May (13:00 WAT). In the table, Merani Tbilisi are 5th, upper half, on 43 points after 27 matches; Lokomotivi Tbilisi are 8th (upper half) with 40. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Merani Tbilisi, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Iveria Khashuri, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Lokomotivi Tbilisi, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Didube 2014, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Merani Tbilisi, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.3 for Lokomotivi Tbilisi.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Merani Tbilisi 1.5 xG, Lokomotivi Tbilisi 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Merani Tbilisi 44%, draw 22%, Lokomotivi Tbilisi 34%.
Price worth noting: Lokomotivi Tbilisi to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Merani Tbilisi 1–2 Lokomotivi Tbilisi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Merani Tbilisi44%fair 2.28 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.75
Lokomotivi Tbilisi34%fair 2.90 · @3.10
3.10Expected goals
1.51Merani Tbilisi xG
1.59Lokomotivi Tbilisi xG
54%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Merani Tbilisi 1.5 – 1.6 Lokomotivi Tbilisi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Merani Tbilisi to win✓
44%
2.28
1.91
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.83
–
Draw no bet
Merani Tbilisi (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Merani Tbilisi +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Lokomotivi Tbilisi to score first✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lokomotivi Tbilisi / FT Lokomotivi Tbilisi✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.26
–
Recent results
Merani Tbilisi – last 6
WWDLWW
29 Apr
@ Iveria Khashuri
3–0
W
24 Apr
vs Iberia 2010
2–0
W
16 Apr
@ Kolkheti Khobi
3–3
D
9 Apr
vs Margveti 2006
0–1
L
2 Apr
@ Gardabani
3–0
W
25 Mar
vs Betlemi
5–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lokomotivi Tbilisi – last 6
LLDDLL
29 Apr
vs Didube 2014
1–2
L
24 Apr
@ Irao
1–2
L
16 Apr
vs WIT Georgia
2–2
D
2 Apr
vs Dinamo Tbilisi II
1–1
D
25 Mar
@ Gonio
0–1
L
12 Mar
vs Saburtalo II
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Merani Tbilisi and Lokomotivi Tbilisi.
What is the prediction for Merani Tbilisi vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Merani Tbilisi vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi?
On our numbers Merani Tbilisi have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lokomotivi Tbilisi 34%.
How many goals will there be in Merani Tbilisi vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Merani Tbilisi vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi?
Our predicted score is Merani Tbilisi 1–2 Lokomotivi Tbilisi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Merani Tbilisi vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi?
Merani Tbilisi vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
