Saburtalo II 54%Draw 21%Merani Tbilisi 25%Expected goals 2.16 – 1.13
59%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
1
Value bet: Saburtalo II to win @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSaburtalo II to win ✓54% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Saburtalo II vs Merani Tbilisi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Saburtalo II welcome Merani Tbilisi to Stadioni Bendela for a Liga 3 fixture on Thursday 7 May (14:00 WAT). In the table, Saburtalo II are 3rd, among the top four, on 52 points after 27 matches; Merani Tbilisi are 5th (upper half) with 43.
Current form
Saburtalo II, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Didube 2014, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Merani Tbilisi, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Lokomotivi Tbilisi, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Saburtalo II 2.2 xG, Merani Tbilisi 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Saburtalo II 54%, draw 21%, Merani Tbilisi 25%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Saburtalo II to win @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Saburtalo II 2–1 Merani Tbilisi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Saburtalo II54%fair 1.84 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.40
Merani Tbilisi25%fair 4.03 · @3.10
3.29Expected goals
2.16Saburtalo II xG
1.13Merani Tbilisi xG
59%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Saburtalo II 2.2 – 1.1 Merani Tbilisi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Saburtalo II to win✓
54%
1.84
2.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.65
Draw no bet
Saburtalo II (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
Saburtalo II -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
First team to score
Saburtalo II to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Saburtalo II ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Saburtalo II / FT Saburtalo II✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Saburtalo II – last 6
DWLWDW
3 May
@ Didube 2014
1–1
D
29 Apr
vs Irao
2–1
W
24 Apr
@ WIT Georgia
1–2
L
20 Apr
vs Guria
2–1
W
16 Apr
vs Varketili
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ Dinamo Tbilisi II
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Merani Tbilisi – last 6
WWWDLW
3 May
vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi
1–0
W
29 Apr
@ Iveria Khashuri
3–0
W
24 Apr
vs Iberia 2010
2–0
W
16 Apr
@ Kolkheti Khobi
3–3
D
9 Apr
vs Margveti 2006
0–1
L
2 Apr
@ Gardabani
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Saburtalo II and Merani Tbilisi.
What is the prediction for Saburtalo II vs Merani Tbilisi?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Saburtalo II vs Merani Tbilisi?
On our numbers Saburtalo II have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Merani Tbilisi 25%.
How many goals will there be in Saburtalo II vs Merani Tbilisi?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Saburtalo II vs Merani Tbilisi?
Our predicted score is Saburtalo II 2–1 Merani Tbilisi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Saburtalo II vs Merani Tbilisi?
Saburtalo II vs Merani Tbilisi (Liga 3) kicks off on Thursday 7 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadioni Bendela.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
