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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Saburtalo II v Lokomotivi Tbilisi: numbers & prediction

Liga 3 · Georgia · Stadioni Bendela
1–1
FT
Saburtalo II 65%Draw 20%Lokomotivi Tbilisi 15% Expected goals 1.63 – 0.59
65%
Betarazi pick

Saburtalo II to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultSaburtalo II to win ✗65% · @1.44
Double chanceSaburtalo II or draw ✓85% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.77

Saburtalo II vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lokomotivi Tbilisi travel to face Saburtalo II on Thursday 13 August in the Liga 3, with Stadioni Bendela the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Saburtalo II are 3rd, among the top four, on 52 points after 27 matches; Lokomotivi Tbilisi are 8th (upper half) with 40. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Saburtalo II, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Iveria Khashuri, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Lokomotivi Tbilisi, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Guria, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Mar 2026) it ended Lokomotivi Tbilisi 1–4 Saburtalo II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Saburtalo II 1.6 xG, Lokomotivi Tbilisi 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Saburtalo II 65%, draw 20%, Lokomotivi Tbilisi 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Saburtalo II to win (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Saburtalo II 1–0 Lokomotivi Tbilisi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Saburtalo II65%fair 1.54 · @1.44
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @4.00
Lokomotivi Tbilisi15%fair 6.67 · @6.00
2.22Expected goals
1.63Saburtalo II xG
0.59Lokomotivi Tbilisi xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%

From our goals model: Saburtalo II 1.6 – 0.6 Lokomotivi Tbilisi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSaburtalo II to win ✗65%1.541.44
Double chanceSaburtalo II or draw ✓85%1.181.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.911.95
Draw no betSaburtalo II (draw no bet)81%1.23–
Asian handicapSaburtalo II -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreSaburtalo II to score first ✓66%1.52–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Saburtalo II / FT Saburtalo II ✗39%2.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.77–

Recent results

Saburtalo II – last 6

WLWWWL
6 Aug@ Iveria Khashuri1–0W
26 Julvs Telavi0–1L
26 Jun@ Merani Martvili II2–1W
21 Jun@ Iberia 20102–0W
15 Junvs Kolkheti Khobi3–0W
28 May@ Margveti 20060–2L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Lokomotivi Tbilisi – last 6

WLDWWW
6 Aug@ Guria1–0W
26 Jun@ Basa1–2L
21 Jun@ Iveria Khashuri0–0D
15 Junvs Iberia 20101–0W
28 May@ Kolkheti Khobi2–0W
21 Mayvs Margveti 20061–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Mar 2026Lokomotivi Tbilisi v Saburtalo II1–4
Saburtalo II vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi head-to-head page →

Liga 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Guria271953+6462
2Varketili271791+4560
3FC Iberia 1999 II2714103+3352
4Gonio271557+1650
5Merani Tbilisi271278+243
6Dinamo Tbilisi II271269+742
7WIT Georgia2712510+941
8Lokomotivi Tbilisi271179+740
9Irao2710611+836
10Didube 201427999+136
11Margveti 20062710413-1034
12Kolkheti Khobi278514-1629
13Iveria Khashuri2741112-1423
14Iberia 2010274518-4217
15Gardabani274419-4716
16Betlemi274419-6316

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Saburtalo II vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi?

Our pick is Saburtalo II to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Saburtalo II vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi?

On our numbers Saburtalo II have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lokomotivi Tbilisi 15%.

How many goals will there be in Saburtalo II vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Saburtalo II vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi?

Our predicted score is Saburtalo II 1–0 Lokomotivi Tbilisi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Saburtalo II vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi?

Saburtalo II vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi (Liga 3) kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadioni Bendela.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.