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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lokomotivi Tbilisi v Varketili: numbers & prediction

Liga 3 · Georgia · Mikheil Meskhi Stadium
3–3
FT
Lokomotivi Tbilisi 18%Draw 23%Varketili 60% Expected goals 0.94 – 1.91
60%
Betarazi pick

Varketili to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultVarketili to win ✗60% · @1.57
Double chanceVarketili or draw ✓82% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗7% · fair 14.83

Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Varketili: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Varketili travel to face Lokomotivi Tbilisi on Thursday 3 September in the Liga 3, with Mikheil Meskhi Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Lokomotivi Tbilisi are 8th, upper half, on 40 points after 27 matches; Varketili are 2nd (among the top four) with 60. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Lokomotivi Tbilisi, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dinamo Tbilisi II, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Varketili, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Iveria Khashuri, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotivi Tbilisi 0.9 xG, Varketili 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotivi Tbilisi 18%, draw 23%, Varketili 60%.
  • Lower-risk option: Varketili or draw (82%) at 1.14.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Varketili to win (60%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotivi Tbilisi 0–1 Varketili. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lokomotivi Tbilisi18%fair 5.70 · @4.33
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @4.00
Varketili60%fair 1.67 · @1.57
2.84Expected goals
0.94Lokomotivi Tbilisi xG
1.91Varketili xG
47%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%

From our goals model: Lokomotivi Tbilisi 0.9 – 1.9 Varketili expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVarketili to win ✗60%1.671.57
Double chanceVarketili or draw ✓82%1.211.14
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.88–
Draw no betVarketili (draw no bet)77%1.29–
Asian handicapVarketili -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.801.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗84%1.19–
First team to scoreVarketili to score first ✗63%1.58–
Half-time resultVarketili ahead at half-time ✗44%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Varketili / FT Varketili ✗38%2.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗7%14.83–

Recent results

Lokomotivi Tbilisi – last 6

DWDWLD
27 Aug@ Dinamo Tbilisi II1–1D
20 Augvs Gonio4–0W
13 Aug@ Saburtalo II1–1D
6 Aug@ Guria1–0W
26 Jun@ Basa1–2L
21 Jun@ Iveria Khashuri0–0D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Varketili – last 6

WDWDLW
27 Augvs Iveria Khashuri5–0W
20 Aug@ Iberia 20100–0D
13 Augvs Kolkheti Khobi4–0W
6 Aug@ Margveti 20061–1D
26 Julvs Rustavi0–1L
26 Jun@ Aragvelebi4–0W
2.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Lokomotivi Tbilisi and Varketili.

Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Varketili head-to-head page →

Liga 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Guria271953+6462
2Varketili271791+4560
3FC Iberia 1999 II2714103+3352
4Gonio271557+1650
5Merani Tbilisi271278+243
6Dinamo Tbilisi II271269+742
7WIT Georgia2712510+941
8Lokomotivi Tbilisi271179+740
9Irao2710611+836
10Didube 201427999+136
11Margveti 20062710413-1034
12Kolkheti Khobi278514-1629
13Iveria Khashuri2741112-1423
14Iberia 2010274518-4217
15Gardabani274419-4716
16Betlemi274419-6316

More Liga 3 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Varketili?

Our pick is Varketili to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Varketili?

On our numbers Lokomotivi Tbilisi have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Varketili 60%.

How many goals will there be in Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Varketili?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Varketili?

Our predicted score is Lokomotivi Tbilisi 0–1 Varketili, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Varketili?

Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Varketili (Liga 3) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Mikheil Meskhi Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.