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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gonio v Varketili: numbers & prediction

Liga 3 · Georgia · Kobuleti Football Center

Gonio

LLDLD
1–0
FT
Gonio 13%Draw 23%Varketili 64% Expected goals 0.84 – 2.04
64%
Betarazi pick

Varketili to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultVarketili to win ✗64% · @1.57
Double chanceVarketili or draw ✗87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.18

Gonio vs Varketili: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Thursday 17 September: Gonio v Varketili in the Liga 3, played at Kobuleti Football Center. In the table, Gonio are 4th, among the top four, on 50 points after 27 matches; Varketili are 2nd (among the top four) with 60.

Current form

Gonio, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dinamo Tbilisi II, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Varketili, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC Iberia 1999 II, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Varketili, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Gonio.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Apr 2026) it ended Varketili 1–1 Gonio.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gonio 0.8 xG, Varketili 2.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gonio 13%, draw 23%, Varketili 64%.
  • Lower-risk option: Varketili or draw (87%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Varketili to win (64%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gonio 0–2 Varketili. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gonio13%fair 7.61 · @4.33
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @4.00
Varketili64%fair 1.57 · @1.57
2.88Expected goals
0.84Gonio xG
2.04Varketili xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%

From our goals model: Gonio 0.8 – 2.0 Varketili expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVarketili to win ✗64%1.571.57
Double chanceVarketili or draw ✗87%1.151.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.731.62
Draw no betVarketili (draw no bet) ✗83%1.21–
Asian handicapVarketili -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.82–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
First team to scoreVarketili to score first ✗67%1.50–
Half-time resultVarketili ahead at half-time ✗47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Varketili / FT Varketili ✗42%2.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.18–

Recent results

Gonio – last 6

LLDLDW
10 Sep@ Dinamo Tbilisi II1–2L
3 Sep@ Guria0–2L
28 Augvs FC Iberia 1999 II2–2D
20 Aug@ Lokomotivi Tbilisi0–4L
13 Augvs Iveria Khashuri1–1D
6 Aug@ Iberia 20102–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Varketili – last 6

DDWDWD
10 Sepvs FC Iberia 1999 II1–1D
3 Sep@ Lokomotivi Tbilisi3–3D
27 Augvs Iveria Khashuri5–0W
20 Aug@ Iberia 20100–0D
13 Augvs Kolkheti Khobi4–0W
6 Aug@ Margveti 20061–1D
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Apr 2026Varketili v Gonio1–1
Gonio vs Varketili head-to-head page →

Liga 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Guria271953+6462
2Varketili271791+4560
3FC Iberia 1999 II2714103+3352
4Gonio271557+1650
5Merani Tbilisi271278+243
6Dinamo Tbilisi II271269+742
7WIT Georgia2712510+941
8Lokomotivi Tbilisi271179+740
9Irao2710611+836
10Didube 201427999+136
11Margveti 20062710413-1034
12Kolkheti Khobi278514-1629
13Iveria Khashuri2741112-1423
14Iberia 2010274518-4217
15Gardabani274419-4716
16Betlemi274419-6316

More Liga 3 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gonio vs Varketili?

Our pick is Varketili to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Gonio vs Varketili?

On our numbers Gonio have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Varketili 64%.

How many goals will there be in Gonio vs Varketili?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gonio vs Varketili?

Our predicted score is Gonio 0–2 Varketili, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Gonio vs Varketili?

Gonio vs Varketili (Liga 3) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Kobuleti Football Center.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.