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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lokomotivi Tbilisi v Merani Tbilisi: numbers & prediction

Liga 3 · Georgia · Mikheil Meskhi Stadium
Lokomotivi Tbilisi 41%Draw 21%Merani Tbilisi 38% Expected goals 1.45 – 1.38
54%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.84 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultLokomotivi Tbilisi to win ✗41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.66

Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Merani Tbilisi: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lokomotivi Tbilisi welcome Merani Tbilisi to Mikheil Meskhi Stadium for a Liga 3 fixture on Friday 16 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Lokomotivi Tbilisi are 8th, upper half, on 40 points after 27 matches; Merani Tbilisi are 5th (upper half) with 43. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Lokomotivi Tbilisi, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Didube 2014, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Merani Tbilisi, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Iveria Khashuri, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.

Momentum favours Merani Tbilisi, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for Lokomotivi Tbilisi.

Head to head

When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Merani Tbilisi 1–0 Lokomotivi Tbilisi.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotivi Tbilisi 1.5 xG, Merani Tbilisi 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotivi Tbilisi 41%, draw 21%, Merani Tbilisi 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotivi Tbilisi 2–1 Merani Tbilisi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lokomotivi Tbilisi41%fair 2.43 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.50
Merani Tbilisi38%fair 2.64 · @2.55
2.83Expected goals
1.45Lokomotivi Tbilisi xG
1.38Merani Tbilisi xG
52%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%

From our goals model: Lokomotivi Tbilisi 1.5 – 1.4 Merani Tbilisi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLokomotivi Tbilisi to win ✗41%2.432.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.92–
Draw no betLokomotivi Tbilisi (draw no bet) ✗52%1.92–
Asian handicapMerani Tbilisi +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreLokomotivi Tbilisi to score first48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lokomotivi Tbilisi / FT Lokomotivi Tbilisi ✗23%4.36–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.66–

Recent results

Lokomotivi Tbilisi – last 6

WWLDDW
9 Oct@ Didube 20143–1W
17 Sepvs Irao2–0W
9 Sep@ WIT Georgia1–2L
3 Sepvs Varketili3–3D
27 Aug@ Dinamo Tbilisi II1–1D
20 Augvs Gonio4–0W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Merani Tbilisi – last 6

DDWWWW
9 Octvs Iveria Khashuri2–2D
17 Sep@ Iberia 20102–2D
10 Sepvs Kolkheti Khobi4–1W
3 Sep@ Margveti 20062–0W
27 Augvs Gardabani4–1W
20 Aug@ Betlemi2–0W
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 May 2026Merani Tbilisi v Lokomotivi Tbilisi1–0
Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Merani Tbilisi head-to-head page →

Liga 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Guria271953+6462
2Varketili271791+4560
3FC Iberia 1999 II2714103+3352
4Gonio271557+1650
5Merani Tbilisi271278+243
6Dinamo Tbilisi II271269+742
7WIT Georgia2712510+941
8Lokomotivi Tbilisi271179+740
9Irao2710611+836
10Didube 201427999+136
11Margveti 20062710413-1034
12Kolkheti Khobi278514-1629
13Iveria Khashuri2741112-1423
14Iberia 2010274518-4217
15Gardabani274419-4716
16Betlemi274419-6316

More Liga 3 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Merani Tbilisi?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Merani Tbilisi?

On our numbers Lokomotivi Tbilisi have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Merani Tbilisi 38%.

How many goals will there be in Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Merani Tbilisi?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Merani Tbilisi?

Our predicted score is Lokomotivi Tbilisi 2–1 Merani Tbilisi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Merani Tbilisi?

Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Merani Tbilisi (Liga 3) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Mikheil Meskhi Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.