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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gonio v Merani Tbilisi: numbers & prediction

Liga 3 · Georgia · Kobuleti Football Center

Gonio

WWLWL
3–0
FT
Gonio 62%Draw 15%Merani Tbilisi 23% Expected goals 1.84 – 0.96
62%
Betarazi pick

Gonio to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.95Odds

Picks by market

ResultGonio to win ✓62% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓6% · fair 15.86

Gonio vs Merani Tbilisi: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Friday 30 October: Gonio v Merani Tbilisi in the Liga 3, played at Kobuleti Football Center. In the table, Gonio are 4th, among the top four, on 50 points after 27 matches; Merani Tbilisi are 5th (upper half) with 43.

Current form

Gonio, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Didube 2014, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Merani Tbilisi, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to FC Iberia 1999 II, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (14 May 2026) it ended Merani Tbilisi 1–1 Gonio.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gonio 1.8 xG, Merani Tbilisi 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gonio 62%, draw 15%, Merani Tbilisi 23%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Gonio to win (62%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gonio 1–0 Merani Tbilisi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gonio62%fair 1.61 · @1.95
Draw15%fair 6.83 · @3.75
Merani Tbilisi23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
2.80Expected goals
1.84Gonio xG
0.96Merani Tbilisi xG
46%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%

From our goals model: Gonio 1.8 – 1.0 Merani Tbilisi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGonio to win ✓62%1.611.95 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85%1.171.20
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.87–
Draw no betGonio (draw no bet) ✓73%1.38–
Asian handicapMerani Tbilisi +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.831.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreGonio to score first ✓62%1.62–
Half-time resultGonio ahead at half-time ✗42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gonio / FT Gonio ✗36%2.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓6%15.86–

Recent results

Gonio – last 6

WWLWLL
23 Oct@ Didube 20141–0W
16 Octvs Irao1–0W
8 Oct@ WIT Georgia0–2L
17 Sepvs Varketili1–0W
10 Sep@ Dinamo Tbilisi II1–2L
3 Sep@ Guria0–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Merani Tbilisi – last 6

LWDDWW
23 Octvs FC Iberia 1999 II0–4L
16 Oct@ Lokomotivi Tbilisi2–1W
9 Octvs Iveria Khashuri2–2D
17 Sep@ Iberia 20102–2D
10 Sepvs Kolkheti Khobi4–1W
3 Sep@ Margveti 20062–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 May 2026Merani Tbilisi v Gonio1–1
Gonio vs Merani Tbilisi head-to-head page →

Liga 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Guria271953+6462
2Varketili271791+4560
3FC Iberia 1999 II2714103+3352
4Gonio271557+1650
5Merani Tbilisi271278+243
6Dinamo Tbilisi II271269+742
7WIT Georgia2712510+941
8Lokomotivi Tbilisi271179+740
9Irao2710611+836
10Didube 201427999+136
11Margveti 20062710413-1034
12Kolkheti Khobi278514-1629
13Iveria Khashuri2741112-1423
14Iberia 2010274518-4217
15Gardabani274419-4716
16Betlemi274419-6316

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gonio vs Merani Tbilisi?

Our pick is Gonio to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Gonio vs Merani Tbilisi?

On our numbers Gonio have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Merani Tbilisi 23%.

How many goals will there be in Gonio vs Merani Tbilisi?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gonio vs Merani Tbilisi?

Our predicted score is Gonio 1–0 Merani Tbilisi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Gonio vs Merani Tbilisi?

Gonio vs Merani Tbilisi (Liga 3) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Kobuleti Football Center.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.