Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Picks by market
ResultGonio to win ✓62% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓6% · fair 15.86
Gonio vs Merani Tbilisi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Friday 30 October: Gonio v Merani Tbilisi in the Liga 3, played at Kobuleti Football Center. In the table, Gonio are 4th, among the top four, on 50 points after 27 matches; Merani Tbilisi are 5th (upper half) with 43.
Current form
Gonio, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Didube 2014, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Merani Tbilisi, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to FC Iberia 1999 II, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Head to head
When they last met (14 May 2026) it ended Merani Tbilisi 1–1 Gonio.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gonio 1.8 xG, Merani Tbilisi 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gonio 62%, draw 15%, Merani Tbilisi 23%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Gonio to win (62%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gonio 1–0 Merani Tbilisi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gonio62%fair 1.61 · @1.95
Draw15%fair 6.83 · @3.75
Merani Tbilisi23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
2.80Expected goals
1.84Gonio xG
0.96Merani Tbilisi xG
46%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Gonio 1.8 – 1.0 Merani Tbilisi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Gonio vs Merani Tbilisi?
Our pick is Gonio to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Gonio vs Merani Tbilisi?
On our numbers Gonio have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Merani Tbilisi 23%.
How many goals will there be in Gonio vs Merani Tbilisi?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gonio vs Merani Tbilisi?
Our predicted score is Gonio 1–0 Merani Tbilisi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Gonio vs Merani Tbilisi?
Gonio vs Merani Tbilisi (Liga 3) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Kobuleti Football Center.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.