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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hamrun Spartans v Zabbar St. Patrick: numbers & prediction

Hamrun Spartans 61%Draw 22%Zabbar St. Patrick 17% Expected goals 1.73 – 1.00
67%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 57% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultHamrun Spartans to win ✗61% · @1.25
Double chanceHamrun Spartans or draw ✓83% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25

Hamrun Spartans vs Zabbar St. Patrick: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:00 WAT, Friday 13 February: Hamrun Spartans v Zabbar St. Patrick in the Premier League. In the table, Hamrun Spartans are 5th on 18 points after 12 matches; Zabbar St. Patrick are 8th with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hamrun Spartans 1.7 xG, Zabbar St. Patrick 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hamrun Spartans 61%, draw 22%, Zabbar St. Patrick 17%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (67%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hamrun Spartans 1–1 Zabbar St. Patrick. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hamrun Spartans61%fair 1.63 · @1.25
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @5.20
Zabbar St. Patrick17%fair 5.97 · @9.25
2.73Expected goals
1.73Hamrun Spartans xG
1.00Zabbar St. Patrick xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–17%
0–07%

From our goals model: Hamrun Spartans 1.7 – 1.0 Zabbar St. Patrick expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHamrun Spartans to win ✗61%1.631.25
Double chanceHamrun Spartans or draw ✓83%1.201.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.762.05 ▲
Draw no betHamrun Spartans (draw no bet)79%1.27–
Asian handicapZabbar St. Patrick +1 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77%1.301.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.841.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.491.45
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreHamrun Spartans to score first ✗59%1.69–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hamrun Spartans / FT Hamrun Spartans ✗33%2.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.25–

Recent results

Hamrun Spartans

No recent results on record.

Zabbar St. Patrick

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hamrun Spartans and Zabbar St. Patrick.

Hamrun Spartans vs Zabbar St. Patrick head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Valletta FC11812+1425
2Marsaxlokk11623+720
3Sliema Wanderers11533+118
4Hamrun Spartans11452+417
5Floriana11443+716
6Hibernians11443-216
7Birkirkara11434+315
8Zabbar St. Patrick11425+114
9Mosta11353-514
10Balzan FC11254-111
11Birzebbuga11137-126
12Gzira United11056-175

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hamrun Spartans vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Hamrun Spartans vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

On our numbers Hamrun Spartans have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Zabbar St. Patrick 17%.

How many goals will there be in Hamrun Spartans vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hamrun Spartans vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Our predicted score is Hamrun Spartans 1–1 Zabbar St. Patrick, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Hamrun Spartans vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Hamrun Spartans vs Zabbar St. Patrick (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.