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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Al Nejmeh v Al Ahed: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Lebanon
1–0
FT
Al Nejmeh 59%Draw 25%Al Ahed 16% Expected goals 1.69 – 0.74
59%
Betarazi pick

Al Nejmeh to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultAl Nejmeh to win ✓59% · @1.70
Double chanceAl Nejmeh or draw ✓84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.73

Al Nejmeh vs Al Ahed: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Al Ahed travel to face Al Nejmeh on Friday 12 June in the Premier League – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Al Nejmeh are 5th, upper half, on 8 points after 4 matches; Al Ahed are 4th (among the top four) with 9. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Al Ahed, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Al Ansar, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Al Nejmeh 1.7 xG, Al Ahed 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 43%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Al Nejmeh 59%, draw 25%, Al Ahed 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Al Nejmeh or draw (84%) at 1.14.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Al Nejmeh to win (59%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Nejmeh 1–0 Al Ahed. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Al Nejmeh59%fair 1.69 · @1.70
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.30
Al Ahed16%fair 6.13 · @4.33
2.43Expected goals
1.69Al Nejmeh xG
0.74Al Ahed xG
43%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%

From our goals model: Al Nejmeh 1.7 – 0.7 Al Ahed expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAl Nejmeh to win ✓59%1.691.70
Double chanceAl Nejmeh or draw ✓84%1.201.14
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓57%1.76–
Draw no betAl Nejmeh (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapAl Nejmeh -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.43–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.751.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreAl Nejmeh to score first ✓63%1.57–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Al Nejmeh / FT Al Nejmeh ✗37%2.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15%6.73–

Recent results

Al Nejmeh

No recent results on record.

Al Ahed – last 3

WDL
12 May@ Al Ansar2–1W
21 Febvs Tadamon Sour0–0D
15 Feb@ Al Mabarrah0–1L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Al Nejmeh and Al Ahed.

Al Nejmeh vs Al Ahed head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Safa5500+1115
2Jwaaya FC6411+813
3Tadamon Sour6312+210
4Al Ahed623109
5Al Nejmeh4220+48
6Al Ansar3210+27
7Tripoli SC6213-17
8Al Hikma6123-45
9Shabab Al Sahel5113-54
10Al Akhaa Al Ahli6114-74
11Shabab Al Ghazieh6114-74
12Reyady Abaseya5023-32

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Al Nejmeh vs Al Ahed?

Our pick is Al Nejmeh to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Al Nejmeh vs Al Ahed?

On our numbers Al Nejmeh have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Al Ahed 16%.

How many goals will there be in Al Nejmeh vs Al Ahed?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Al Nejmeh vs Al Ahed?

Our predicted score is Al Nejmeh 1–0 Al Ahed, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Al Nejmeh vs Al Ahed?

Al Nejmeh vs Al Ahed (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 12 June 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.