Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.29
Al Ahed vs Shabab Al Sahel: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 28 June the Premier League brings Al Ahed against Shabab Al Sahel at Beirut Municipal Stadium. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Al Ahed are 4th, among the top four, on 9 points after 6 matches; Shabab Al Sahel are 9th (lower half) with 4.
Current form
Al Ahed, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Safa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Shabab Al Sahel, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Reyady Abaseya, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Ahed 1.4 xG, Shabab Al Sahel 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 42%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Ahed 56%, draw 27%, Shabab Al Sahel 17%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.74, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Ahed 1–0 Shabab Al Sahel. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Ahed56%fair 1.78 · @1.45
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.80
Shabab Al Sahel17%fair 5.94 · @6.00
2.20Expected goals
1.44Al Ahed xG
0.76Shabab Al Sahel xG
42%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–112%
2–011%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Al Ahed 1.4 – 0.8 Shabab Al Sahel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Ahed to win✓
56%
1.78
1.45
Double chance
Al Ahed or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
–
Draw no bet
Al Ahed (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Shabab Al Sahel +1 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Al Ahed to score first✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Ahed / FT Al Ahed✓
32%
3.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.29
–
Recent results
Al Ahed – last 6
WLWLWD
24 Jun
vs Safa
4–1
W
20 Jun
@ Al Ansar
1–3
L
16 Jun
vs Al Hikma
1–0
W
12 Jun
@ Al Nejmeh
0–1
L
12 May
@ Al Ansar
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs Tadamon Sour
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Shabab Al Sahel – last 5
WWLLL
24 Jun
vs Reyady Abaseya
3–0
W
16 Jun
vs Racing
2–0
W
12 Jun
vs Safa
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Al Ansar
0–3
L
16 Feb
@ Al Hikma
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Ahed and Shabab Al Sahel.
What is the prediction for Al Ahed vs Shabab Al Sahel?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Al Ahed vs Shabab Al Sahel?
On our numbers Al Ahed have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Shabab Al Sahel 17%.
How many goals will there be in Al Ahed vs Shabab Al Sahel?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Ahed vs Shabab Al Sahel?
Our predicted score is Al Ahed 1–0 Shabab Al Sahel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Al Ahed vs Shabab Al Sahel?
Al Ahed vs Shabab Al Sahel (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Beirut Municipal Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
