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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

North Carolina Courage W v Bay FC: numbers & prediction

NWSL Women · USA · WakeMed Soccer Park
North Carolina Courage W 58%Draw 23%Bay FC 19% Expected goals 1.81 – 0.91
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultNorth Carolina Courage W to win ✗58% · @1.77
Double chanceNorth Carolina Courage W or draw ✗81% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18

North Carolina Courage W vs Bay FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bay FC travel to face North Carolina Courage W on Sunday 29 March in the NWSL Women, with WakeMed Soccer Park the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, North Carolina Courage W are 9th, lower half, on 45 points after 30 matches; Bay FC are 14th (in the drop zone) with 27. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give North Carolina Courage W 1.8 xG, Bay FC 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – North Carolina Courage W 58%, draw 23%, Bay FC 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: North Carolina Courage W or draw (81%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: North Carolina Courage W 1–1 Bay FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

North Carolina Courage W58%fair 1.74 · @1.77
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.40
Bay FC19%fair 5.25 · @4.20
2.72Expected goals
1.81North Carolina Courage W xG
0.91Bay FC xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%

From our goals model: North Carolina Courage W 1.8 – 0.9 Bay FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNorth Carolina Courage W to win ✗58%1.741.77
Double chanceNorth Carolina Courage W or draw ✗81%1.241.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.771.80
Draw no betNorth Carolina Courage W (draw no bet) ✗75%1.33–
Asian handicapBay FC +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.361.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.981.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.391.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreNorth Carolina Courage W to score first ✗62%1.61–
Half-time resultNorth Carolina Courage W ahead at half-time ✗42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT North Carolina Courage W / FT North Carolina Courage W ✗36%2.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.18–

Recent results

North Carolina Courage W – last 2

DW
21 Mar@ NJNY Gotham FC W0–0D
15 Marvs Racing Louisville W2–1W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Bay FC – last 2

LW
22 Marvs Angel City W1–3L
14 Marvs Denver Summit W2–1W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between North Carolina Courage W and Bay FC.

North Carolina Courage W vs Bay FC head-to-head page →

NWSL Women table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1NJ/NY Gotham FC W301875+1661
2San Diego Wave W301848+1458
3Washington Spirit W301749+1555
4Kansas City W301659+1553
5Angel City W301578+2252
6Portland Thorns W301488+950
7Utah Royals W3014511+547
8Seattle Reign FC W3014511+447
9North Carolina Courage W3014313+1045
10Denver Summit W3011811+1141
11Orlando Pride W3011316-836
12Houston Dash W309615-633
13Boston Legacy W309615-1233
14Bay FC W307617-1727
15Racing Louisville W307320-2424
16Chicago Red Stars W305223-5417

More NWSL Women predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for North Carolina Courage W vs Bay FC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win North Carolina Courage W vs Bay FC?

On our numbers North Carolina Courage W have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bay FC 19%.

How many goals will there be in North Carolina Courage W vs Bay FC?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for North Carolina Courage W vs Bay FC?

Our predicted score is North Carolina Courage W 1–1 Bay FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is North Carolina Courage W vs Bay FC?

North Carolina Courage W vs Bay FC (NWSL Women) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at WakeMed Soccer Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.