Bay FC 28%Draw 26%Washington Spirit W 46%Expected goals 1.02 – 1.47
76%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultWashington Spirit W to win46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.94
Bay FC vs Washington Spirit W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 5 April the NWSL Women brings Bay FC against Washington Spirit W at PayPal Park. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT. In the table, Bay FC are 14th, in the drop zone, on 27 points after 30 matches; Washington Spirit W are 3rd (among the top four) with 55. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Bay FC, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over North Carolina Courage W, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Washington Spirit W, last 3: DDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Utah Royals W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Bay FC, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Washington Spirit W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bay FC 1.0 xG, Washington Spirit W 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bay FC 28%, draw 26%, Washington Spirit W 46%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bay FC 1–1 Washington Spirit W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bay FC28%fair 3.56 · @3.25
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.30
Washington Spirit W46%fair 2.16 · @2.05
2.49Expected goals
1.02Bay FC xG
1.47Washington Spirit W xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Bay FC 1.0 – 1.5 Washington Spirit W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Washington Spirit W to win
46%
2.16
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.34
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.81
1.83
Draw no bet
Washington Spirit W (draw no bet)
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Bay FC +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Washington Spirit W to score first
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Washington Spirit W / FT Washington Spirit W
28%
3.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.94
–
Recent results
Bay FC – last 3
WLW
29 Mar
@ North Carolina Courage W
3–1
W
22 Mar
vs Angel City W
1–3
L
14 Mar
vs Denver Summit W
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Washington Spirit W – last 3
DDL
26 Mar
vs Utah Royals W
1–1
D
21 Mar
@ Racing Louisville W
2–2
D
14 Mar
vs Portland Thorns W
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bay FC and Washington Spirit W.
What is the prediction for Bay FC vs Washington Spirit W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bay FC vs Washington Spirit W?
On our numbers Bay FC have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Washington Spirit W 46%.
How many goals will there be in Bay FC vs Washington Spirit W?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bay FC vs Washington Spirit W?
Our predicted score is Bay FC 1–1 Washington Spirit W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Bay FC vs Washington Spirit W?
Bay FC vs Washington Spirit W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at PayPal Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.