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Bay FC v Washington Spirit W: numbers & prediction

NWSL Women · USA · PayPal Park
Sun 5 Apr 2026
Bay FC 28%Draw 26%Washington Spirit W 46% Expected goals 1.02 – 1.47
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultWashington Spirit W to win46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.94

Bay FC vs Washington Spirit W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 5 April the NWSL Women brings Bay FC against Washington Spirit W at PayPal Park. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT. In the table, Bay FC are 14th, in the drop zone, on 27 points after 30 matches; Washington Spirit W are 3rd (among the top four) with 55. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Bay FC, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over North Carolina Courage W, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Washington Spirit W, last 3: DDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Utah Royals W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Bay FC, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Washington Spirit W.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bay FC 1.0 xG, Washington Spirit W 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bay FC 28%, draw 26%, Washington Spirit W 46%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bay FC 1–1 Washington Spirit W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bay FC28%fair 3.56 · @3.25
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.30
Washington Spirit W46%fair 2.16 · @2.05
2.49Expected goals
1.02Bay FC xG
1.47Washington Spirit W xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Bay FC 1.0 – 1.5 Washington Spirit W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWashington Spirit W to win46%2.162.05
Double chanceEither team to win74%1.341.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score55%1.811.83
Draw no betWashington Spirit W (draw no bet)62%1.61–
Asian handicapBay FC +1 (Asian handicap)69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals70%1.431.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals55%1.831.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals76%1.321.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals89%1.12–
First team to scoreWashington Spirit W to score first54%1.85–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Washington Spirit W / FT Washington Spirit W28%3.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%10.94–

Recent results

Bay FC – last 3

WLW
29 Mar@ North Carolina Courage W3–1W
22 Marvs Angel City W1–3L
14 Marvs Denver Summit W2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Washington Spirit W – last 3

DDL
26 Marvs Utah Royals W1–1D
21 Mar@ Racing Louisville W2–2D
14 Marvs Portland Thorns W0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bay FC and Washington Spirit W.

Bay FC vs Washington Spirit W head-to-head page →

NWSL Women table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1NJ/NY Gotham FC W301875+1661
2San Diego Wave W301848+1458
3Washington Spirit W301749+1555
4Kansas City W301659+1553
5Angel City W301578+2252
6Portland Thorns W301488+950
7Utah Royals W3014511+547
8Seattle Reign FC W3014511+447
9North Carolina Courage W3014313+1045
10Denver Summit W3011811+1141
11Orlando Pride W3011316-836
12Houston Dash W309615-633
13Boston Legacy W309615-1233
14Bay FC W307617-1727
15Racing Louisville W307320-2424
16Chicago Red Stars W305223-5417

More NWSL Women predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bay FC vs Washington Spirit W?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Bay FC vs Washington Spirit W?

On our numbers Bay FC have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Washington Spirit W 46%.

How many goals will there be in Bay FC vs Washington Spirit W?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bay FC vs Washington Spirit W?

Our predicted score is Bay FC 1–1 Washington Spirit W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Bay FC vs Washington Spirit W?

Bay FC vs Washington Spirit W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at PayPal Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.