Value bet: Angel City W to win @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAngel City W to win ✗50% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Angel City W vs Portland Thorns W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 April the NWSL Women brings Angel City W against Portland Thorns W at BMO Stadium. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Angel City W are 5th, upper half, on 52 points after 30 matches; Portland Thorns W are 6th (upper half) with 50. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Angel City W, last 4: LWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Orlando Pride W, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Portland Thorns W, last 4: DLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with North Carolina Courage W, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Angel City W, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for Portland Thorns W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Angel City W 1.8 xG, Portland Thorns W 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 52% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Angel City W 50%, draw 23%, Portland Thorns W 27%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Angel City W to win @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Angel City W 1–1 Portland Thorns W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Angel City W50%fair 2.01 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.25
Portland Thorns W27%fair 3.73 · @2.95
2.96Expected goals
1.85Angel City W xG
1.11Portland Thorns W xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Angel City W 1.8 – 1.1 Portland Thorns W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Angel City W to win✗
50%
2.01
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.73
Draw no bet
Angel City W (draw no bet)✗
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
Portland Thorns W +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Angel City W to score first
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Angel City W ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Angel City W / FT Angel City W✗
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
Angel City W – last 4
LWWW
4 Apr
@ Orlando Pride W
1–2
L
28 Mar
vs Houston Dash W
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Bay FC
3–1
W
16 Mar
vs Chicago Red Stars W
4–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Portland Thorns W – last 4
DLWW
4 Apr
@ North Carolina Courage W
2–2
D
26 Mar
@ San Diego Wave W
1–3
L
21 Mar
vs Seattle Reign FC
2–0
W
14 Mar
@ Washington Spirit W
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Angel City W and Portland Thorns W.
What is the prediction for Angel City W vs Portland Thorns W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Angel City W vs Portland Thorns W?
On our numbers Angel City W have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Portland Thorns W 27%.
How many goals will there be in Angel City W vs Portland Thorns W?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Angel City W vs Portland Thorns W?
Our predicted score is Angel City W 1–1 Portland Thorns W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Angel City W vs Portland Thorns W?
Angel City W vs Portland Thorns W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at BMO Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
