Portland Thorns W vs San Diego Wave W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
San Diego Wave W travel to face Portland Thorns W on Thursday 30 April in the NWSL Women, with Providence Park the venue – the ball rolls at 03:00 WAT. In the table, Portland Thorns W are 6th, upper half, on 50 points after 30 matches; San Diego Wave W are 2nd (among the top four) with 58.
Current form
Portland Thorns W, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Angel City W, away. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
San Diego Wave W, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Denver Summit W, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours San Diego Wave W, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Portland Thorns W.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Mar 2026) it ended San Diego Wave W 3–1 Portland Thorns W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Portland Thorns W 1.3 xG, San Diego Wave W 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Portland Thorns W 33%, draw 25%, San Diego Wave W 42%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portland Thorns W 1–1 San Diego Wave W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Portland Thorns W33%fair 3.02 · @2.85
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.30
San Diego Wave W42%fair 2.40 · @2.25
2.75Expected goals
1.29Portland Thorns W xG
1.45San Diego Wave W xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Portland Thorns W 1.3 – 1.5 San Diego Wave W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Portland Thorns W vs San Diego Wave W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Portland Thorns W vs San Diego Wave W?
On our numbers Portland Thorns W have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and San Diego Wave W 42%.
How many goals will there be in Portland Thorns W vs San Diego Wave W?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portland Thorns W vs San Diego Wave W?
Our predicted score is Portland Thorns W 1–1 San Diego Wave W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Portland Thorns W vs San Diego Wave W?
Portland Thorns W vs San Diego Wave W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Providence Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.