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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Portland Thorns W v San Diego Wave W: numbers & prediction

NWSL Women · USA · Providence Park
Portland Thorns W 33%Draw 25%San Diego Wave W 42% Expected goals 1.29 – 1.45
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultSan Diego Wave W to win ✗42% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.41

Portland Thorns W vs San Diego Wave W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

San Diego Wave W travel to face Portland Thorns W on Thursday 30 April in the NWSL Women, with Providence Park the venue – the ball rolls at 03:00 WAT. In the table, Portland Thorns W are 6th, upper half, on 50 points after 30 matches; San Diego Wave W are 2nd (among the top four) with 58.

Current form

Portland Thorns W, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Angel City W, away. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

San Diego Wave W, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Denver Summit W, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours San Diego Wave W, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Portland Thorns W.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Mar 2026) it ended San Diego Wave W 3–1 Portland Thorns W.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Portland Thorns W 1.3 xG, San Diego Wave W 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Portland Thorns W 33%, draw 25%, San Diego Wave W 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portland Thorns W 1–1 San Diego Wave W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Portland Thorns W33%fair 3.02 · @2.85
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.30
San Diego Wave W42%fair 2.40 · @2.25
2.75Expected goals
1.29Portland Thorns W xG
1.45San Diego Wave W xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%

From our goals model: Portland Thorns W 1.3 – 1.5 San Diego Wave W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSan Diego Wave W to win ✗42%2.402.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.631.62
Draw no betSan Diego Wave W (draw no bet) ✗56%1.79–
Asian handicapPortland Thorns W +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.931.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.441.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreSan Diego Wave W to score first ✗50%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT San Diego Wave W / FT San Diego Wave W ✗24%4.16–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.41–

Recent results

Portland Thorns W – last 5

WDLWW
26 Apr@ Angel City W2–1W
4 Apr@ North Carolina Courage W2–2D
26 Mar@ San Diego Wave W1–3L
21 Marvs Seattle Reign FC2–0W
14 Mar@ Washington Spirit W1–0W
1.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

San Diego Wave W – last 6

WWWWWL
26 Apr@ Denver Summit W3–2W
4 Apr@ Boston Legacy W1–0W
29 Marvs Chicago Red Stars W2–0W
26 Marvs Portland Thorns W3–1W
23 Mar@ Utah Royals W2–1W
15 Marvs Houston Dash W0–1L
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Mar 2026San Diego Wave W v Portland Thorns W3–1
Portland Thorns W vs San Diego Wave W head-to-head page →

NWSL Women table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1NJ/NY Gotham FC W301875+1661
2San Diego Wave W301848+1458
3Washington Spirit W301749+1555
4Kansas City W301659+1553
5Angel City W301578+2252
6Portland Thorns W301488+950
7Utah Royals W3014511+547
8Seattle Reign FC W3014511+447
9North Carolina Courage W3014313+1045
10Denver Summit W3011811+1141
11Orlando Pride W3011316-836
12Houston Dash W309615-633
13Boston Legacy W309615-1233
14Bay FC W307617-1727
15Racing Louisville W307320-2424
16Chicago Red Stars W305223-5417

More NWSL Women predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Portland Thorns W vs San Diego Wave W?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Portland Thorns W vs San Diego Wave W?

On our numbers Portland Thorns W have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and San Diego Wave W 42%.

How many goals will there be in Portland Thorns W vs San Diego Wave W?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Portland Thorns W vs San Diego Wave W?

Our predicted score is Portland Thorns W 1–1 San Diego Wave W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Portland Thorns W vs San Diego Wave W?

Portland Thorns W vs San Diego Wave W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Providence Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.