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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

San Diego Wave W v Bay FC: numbers & prediction

NWSL Women · USA · Snapdragon Stadium
0–1
FT
San Diego Wave W 64%Draw 22%Bay FC 15% Expected goals 1.90 – 0.81
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultSan Diego Wave W to win ✗64% · @1.40
Double chanceSan Diego Wave W or draw ✗85% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27

San Diego Wave W vs Bay FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bay FC travel to face San Diego Wave W on Monday 4 May in the NWSL Women, with Snapdragon Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, San Diego Wave W are 2nd, among the top four, on 58 points after 30 matches; Bay FC are 14th (in the drop zone) with 27. There are 31 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

San Diego Wave W, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Portland Thorns W, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Bay FC, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over North Carolina Courage W, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours San Diego Wave W, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Bay FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give San Diego Wave W 1.9 xG, Bay FC 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – San Diego Wave W 64%, draw 22%, Bay FC 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Diego Wave W 2–0 Bay FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

San Diego Wave W64%fair 1.56 · @1.40
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @4.20
Bay FC15%fair 6.85 · @6.75
2.72Expected goals
1.90San Diego Wave W xG
0.81Bay FC xG
54%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: San Diego Wave W 1.9 – 0.8 Bay FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSan Diego Wave W to win ✗64%1.561.40
Double chanceSan Diego Wave W or draw ✗85%1.171.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.851.83
Draw no betSan Diego Wave W (draw no bet) ✗81%1.23–
Asian handicapSan Diego Wave W -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.321.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.891.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.461.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreSan Diego Wave W to score first ✗65%1.53–
Half-time resultSan Diego Wave W ahead at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT San Diego Wave W / FT San Diego Wave W ✗40%2.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.27–

Recent results

San Diego Wave W – last 6

LWWWWW
30 Apr@ Portland Thorns W0–2L
26 Apr@ Denver Summit W3–2W
4 Apr@ Boston Legacy W1–0W
29 Marvs Chicago Red Stars W2–0W
26 Marvs Portland Thorns W3–1W
23 Mar@ Utah Royals W2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Bay FC – last 3

WLW
29 Mar@ North Carolina Courage W3–1W
22 Marvs Angel City W1–3L
14 Marvs Denver Summit W2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between San Diego Wave W and Bay FC.

San Diego Wave W vs Bay FC head-to-head page →

NWSL Women table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1NJ/NY Gotham FC W301875+1661
2San Diego Wave W301848+1458
3Washington Spirit W301749+1555
4Kansas City W301659+1553
5Angel City W301578+2252
6Portland Thorns W301488+950
7Utah Royals W3014511+547
8Seattle Reign FC W3014511+447
9North Carolina Courage W3014313+1045
10Denver Summit W3011811+1141
11Orlando Pride W3011316-836
12Houston Dash W309615-633
13Boston Legacy W309615-1233
14Bay FC W307617-1727
15Racing Louisville W307320-2424
16Chicago Red Stars W305223-5417

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Diego Wave W vs Bay FC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win San Diego Wave W vs Bay FC?

On our numbers San Diego Wave W have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bay FC 15%.

How many goals will there be in San Diego Wave W vs Bay FC?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for San Diego Wave W vs Bay FC?

Our predicted score is San Diego Wave W 2–0 Bay FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is San Diego Wave W vs Bay FC?

San Diego Wave W vs Bay FC (NWSL Women) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Snapdragon Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.