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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Houston Dash W v Denver Summit W: numbers & prediction

NWSL Women · USA · Shell Energy Stadium
1–4
FT
Houston Dash W 37%Draw 25%Denver Summit W 38% Expected goals 1.33 – 1.46
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
2

Value bet: Denver Summit W to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultDenver Summit W to win ✓38% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.49

Houston Dash W vs Denver Summit W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:00 WAT, Sunday 10 May: Houston Dash W v Denver Summit W in the NWSL Women, played at Shell Energy Stadium. In the table, Houston Dash W are 12th, lower half, on 33 points after 30 matches; Denver Summit W are 10th (lower half) with 41.

Current form

Houston Dash W, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Utah Royals W, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.

Denver Summit W, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to San Diego Wave W, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Houston Dash W 1.3 xG, Denver Summit W 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Houston Dash W 37%, draw 25%, Denver Summit W 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Denver Summit W to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Houston Dash W 1–1 Denver Summit W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Houston Dash W37%fair 2.69 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.20
Denver Summit W38%fair 2.63 · @2.88
2.78Expected goals
1.33Houston Dash W xG
1.46Denver Summit W xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%

From our goals model: Houston Dash W 1.3 – 1.5 Denver Summit W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDenver Summit W to win ✓38%2.632.88 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.731.73
Draw no betDenver Summit W (draw no bet) ✓51%1.98–
Asian handicapHouston Dash W +1 (Asian handicap) ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.351.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓50%2.001.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.401.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗85%1.18–
First team to scoreDenver Summit W to score first49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Denver Summit W / FT Denver Summit W ✓24%4.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.49–

Recent results

Houston Dash W – last 5

LLWLW
7 May@ Utah Royals W0–2L
26 Aprvs North Carolina Courage W0–1L
4 Aprvs Racing Louisville W4–3W
28 Mar@ Angel City W1–2L
15 Mar@ San Diego Wave W1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Denver Summit W – last 5

LDWDL
26 Aprvs San Diego Wave W2–3L
5 Apr@ Seattle Reign FC0–0D
26 Mar@ NJNY Gotham FC W2–0W
21 Mar@ Orlando Pride W1–1D
14 Mar@ Bay FC1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Houston Dash W and Denver Summit W.

Houston Dash W vs Denver Summit W head-to-head page →

NWSL Women table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1NJ/NY Gotham FC W301875+1661
2San Diego Wave W301848+1458
3Washington Spirit W301749+1555
4Kansas City W301659+1553
5Angel City W301578+2252
6Portland Thorns W301488+950
7Utah Royals W3014511+547
8Seattle Reign FC W3014511+447
9North Carolina Courage W3014313+1045
10Denver Summit W3011811+1141
11Orlando Pride W3011316-836
12Houston Dash W309615-633
13Boston Legacy W309615-1233
14Bay FC W307617-1727
15Racing Louisville W307320-2424
16Chicago Red Stars W305223-5417

More NWSL Women predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Houston Dash W vs Denver Summit W?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Houston Dash W vs Denver Summit W?

On our numbers Houston Dash W have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Denver Summit W 38%.

How many goals will there be in Houston Dash W vs Denver Summit W?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Houston Dash W vs Denver Summit W?

Our predicted score is Houston Dash W 1–1 Denver Summit W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Houston Dash W vs Denver Summit W?

Houston Dash W vs Denver Summit W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Shell Energy Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.