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Seattle Reign FC v Washington Spirit W: numbers & prediction

NWSL Women · USA · Lumen Field
Seattle Reign FC 24%Draw 27%Washington Spirit W 48% Expected goals 1.00 – 1.28
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultWashington Spirit W to win ✓48% · @1.80
Double chanceWashington Spirit W or draw ✓76% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.95

Seattle Reign FC vs Washington Spirit W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 11 May the NWSL Women brings Seattle Reign FC against Washington Spirit W at Lumen Field. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Seattle Reign FC are 8th, upper half, on 47 points after 30 matches; Washington Spirit W are 3rd (among the top four) with 55.

Current form

Seattle Reign FC, last 4: DWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Denver Summit W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Washington Spirit W, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Racing Louisville W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Seattle Reign FC 1.0 xG, Washington Spirit W 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Seattle Reign FC 24%, draw 27%, Washington Spirit W 48%.
  • Lower-risk option: Washington Spirit W or draw (76%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Seattle Reign FC 1–1 Washington Spirit W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Seattle Reign FC24%fair 4.10 · @3.95
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.40
Washington Spirit W48%fair 2.07 · @1.80
2.28Expected goals
1.00Seattle Reign FC xG
1.28Washington Spirit W xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%

From our goals model: Seattle Reign FC 1.0 – 1.3 Washington Spirit W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWashington Spirit W to win ✓48%2.071.80
Double chanceWashington Spirit W or draw ✓76%1.321.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.911.80
Draw no betWashington Spirit W (draw no bet) ✓66%1.50–
Asian handicapSeattle Reign FC +1 (Asian handicap)75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.451.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.781.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.301.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreWashington Spirit W to score first ✓50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Washington Spirit W / FT Washington Spirit W ✗25%4.05–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.95–

Recent results

Seattle Reign FC – last 4

DWWL
5 Aprvs Denver Summit W0–0D
28 Marvs Racing Louisville W2–1W
26 Marvs Kansas City W3–0W
21 Mar@ Portland Thorns W0–2L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Washington Spirit W – last 5

WWDDL
30 Aprvs Racing Louisville W1–0W
25 Aprvs Kansas City W4–0W
26 Marvs Utah Royals W1–1D
21 Mar@ Racing Louisville W2–2D
14 Marvs Portland Thorns W0–1L
1.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Seattle Reign FC and Washington Spirit W.

Seattle Reign FC vs Washington Spirit W head-to-head page →

NWSL Women table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1NJ/NY Gotham FC W301875+1661
2San Diego Wave W301848+1458
3Washington Spirit W301749+1555
4Kansas City W301659+1553
5Angel City W301578+2252
6Portland Thorns W301488+950
7Utah Royals W3014511+547
8Seattle Reign FC W3014511+447
9North Carolina Courage W3014313+1045
10Denver Summit W3011811+1141
11Orlando Pride W3011316-836
12Houston Dash W309615-633
13Boston Legacy W309615-1233
14Bay FC W307617-1727
15Racing Louisville W307320-2424
16Chicago Red Stars W305223-5417

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Seattle Reign FC vs Washington Spirit W?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Seattle Reign FC vs Washington Spirit W?

On our numbers Seattle Reign FC have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Washington Spirit W 48%.

How many goals will there be in Seattle Reign FC vs Washington Spirit W?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Seattle Reign FC vs Washington Spirit W?

Our predicted score is Seattle Reign FC 1–1 Washington Spirit W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Seattle Reign FC vs Washington Spirit W?

Seattle Reign FC vs Washington Spirit W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Lumen Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.