ResultNorth Carolina Courage W to win ✓73% · @1.36
Double chanceNorth Carolina Courage W or draw ✓91% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.12
North Carolina Courage W vs Chicago Red Stars W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chicago Red Stars W travel to face North Carolina Courage W on Saturday 16 May in the NWSL Women, with WakeMed Soccer Park the venue – the ball rolls at 23:30 WAT. In the table, North Carolina Courage W are 9th, lower half, on 45 points after 30 matches; Chicago Red Stars W are 16th (in the drop zone) with 17. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
North Carolina Courage W, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Orlando Pride W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Chicago Red Stars W, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to NJNY Gotham FC W, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give North Carolina Courage W 2.5 xG, Chicago Red Stars W 0.7 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 52% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – North Carolina Courage W 73%, draw 17%, Chicago Red Stars W 9%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was North Carolina Courage W to win (73%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: North Carolina Courage W 2–0 Chicago Red Stars W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
North Carolina Courage W73%fair 1.36 · @1.36
Draw17%fair 5.80 · @4.20
Chicago Red Stars W9%fair 10.58 · @7.00
3.15Expected goals
2.45North Carolina Courage W xG
0.70Chicago Red Stars W xG
52%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
3–011%
1–010%
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
From our goals model: North Carolina Courage W 2.5 – 0.7 Chicago Red Stars W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
North Carolina Courage W to win✓
73%
1.36
1.36
Double chance
North Carolina Courage W or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.85
Draw no bet
North Carolina Courage W (draw no bet)✓
89%
1.13
–
Asian handicap
North Carolina Courage W -1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
North Carolina Courage W to score first✓
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
North Carolina Courage W ahead at half-time✗
55%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT North Carolina Courage W / FT North Carolina Courage W✗
52%
1.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.12
–
Recent results
North Carolina Courage W – last 6
LLDWDL
9 May
@ Orlando Pride W
0–1
L
2 May
vs Kansas City W
1–2
L
30 Apr
@ Boston Legacy W
2–2
D
26 Apr
@ Houston Dash W
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Portland Thorns W
2–2
D
29 Mar
vs Bay FC
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chicago Red Stars W – last 6
LWLLLL
30 Apr
vs NJNY Gotham FC W
0–2
L
25 Apr
vs Boston Legacy W
2–0
W
4 Apr
@ Utah Royals W
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ San Diego Wave W
0–2
L
26 Mar
vs Orlando Pride W
0–3
L
16 Mar
@ Angel City W
0–4
L
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between North Carolina Courage W and Chicago Red Stars W.
What is the prediction for North Carolina Courage W vs Chicago Red Stars W?
Our pick is North Carolina Courage W to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win North Carolina Courage W vs Chicago Red Stars W?
On our numbers North Carolina Courage W have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Chicago Red Stars W 9%.
How many goals will there be in North Carolina Courage W vs Chicago Red Stars W?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for North Carolina Courage W vs Chicago Red Stars W?
Our predicted score is North Carolina Courage W 2–0 Chicago Red Stars W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is North Carolina Courage W vs Chicago Red Stars W?
North Carolina Courage W vs Chicago Red Stars W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at WakeMed Soccer Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
