Value bet: Angel City W to win @ 4.00 – our chance 31% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPortland Thorns W to win ✗44% · @1.77
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.09
Portland Thorns W vs Angel City W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Portland Thorns W v Angel City W in the NWSL Women, played at Providence Park. In the table, Portland Thorns W are 6th, upper half, on 50 points after 30 matches; Angel City W are 5th (upper half) with 52. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Portland Thorns W, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Racing Louisville W, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Angel City W, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to San Diego Wave W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Portland Thorns W, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Angel City W.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Angel City W 1–2 Portland Thorns W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Portland Thorns W 1.4 xG, Angel City W 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Portland Thorns W 44%, draw 25%, Angel City W 31%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Angel City W to win @4.00 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portland Thorns W 1–1 Angel City W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Portland Thorns W44%fair 2.26 · @1.77
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.45
Angel City W31%fair 3.20 · @4.00
2.87Expected goals
1.42Portland Thorns W xG
1.45Angel City W xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Portland Thorns W 1.4 – 1.5 Angel City W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Portland Thorns W vs Angel City W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Portland Thorns W vs Angel City W?
On our numbers Portland Thorns W have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Angel City W 31%.
How many goals will there be in Portland Thorns W vs Angel City W?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portland Thorns W vs Angel City W?
Our predicted score is Portland Thorns W 1–1 Angel City W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Portland Thorns W vs Angel City W?
Portland Thorns W vs Angel City W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Providence Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
