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Racing Louisville W v Denver Summit W: numbers & prediction

NWSL Women · USA · Lynn Family Stadium
Racing Louisville W 30%Draw 23%Denver Summit W 47% Expected goals 1.34 – 1.88
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.28Odds
2

Value bet: Denver Summit W to win @ 2.25 – our chance 47% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultDenver Summit W to win ✓47% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.57

Racing Louisville W vs Denver Summit W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 30 May the NWSL Women brings Racing Louisville W against Denver Summit W at Lynn Family Stadium. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Racing Louisville W are 15th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 30 matches; Denver Summit W are 10th (lower half) with 41. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Racing Louisville W, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Utah Royals W, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Denver Summit W, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Utah Royals W, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours Denver Summit W, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Racing Louisville W.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Racing Louisville W 1.3 xG, Denver Summit W 1.9 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Racing Louisville W 30%, draw 23%, Denver Summit W 47%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: Denver Summit W to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 47%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Racing Louisville W 1–1 Denver Summit W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Racing Louisville W30%fair 3.38 · @2.85
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.30
Denver Summit W47%fair 2.12 · @2.25
3.22Expected goals
1.34Racing Louisville W xG
1.88Denver Summit W xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–29%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Racing Louisville W 1.3 – 1.9 Denver Summit W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDenver Summit W to win ✓47%2.122.25 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.581.67 ▲
Draw no betDenver Summit W (draw no bet) ✓61%1.63–
Asian handicapRacing Louisville W +1 (Asian handicap)64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.281.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.531.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.29–
First team to scoreDenver Summit W to score first ✓56%1.79–
Half-time resultDenver Summit W ahead at half-time ✗38%2.62–
Half-time / full-timeHT Denver Summit W / FT Denver Summit W ✗31%3.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.57–

Recent results

Racing Louisville W – last 6

LDWLLL
18 May@ Utah Royals W1–2L
14 May@ Indy Eleven W1–1D
8 Mayvs Portland Thorns W3–1W
30 Apr@ Washington Spirit W0–1L
4 Apr@ Houston Dash W3–4L
28 Mar@ Seattle Reign FC1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Denver Summit W – last 6

LWWLDW
23 May@ Utah Royals W1–2L
17 Mayvs Orlando Pride W3–1W
10 May@ Houston Dash W4–1W
26 Aprvs San Diego Wave W2–3L
5 Apr@ Seattle Reign FC0–0D
26 Mar@ NJNY Gotham FC W2–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Racing Louisville W and Denver Summit W.

Racing Louisville W vs Denver Summit W head-to-head page →

NWSL Women table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1NJ/NY Gotham FC W301875+1661
2San Diego Wave W301848+1458
3Washington Spirit W301749+1555
4Kansas City W301659+1553
5Angel City W301578+2252
6Portland Thorns W301488+950
7Utah Royals W3014511+547
8Seattle Reign FC W3014511+447
9North Carolina Courage W3014313+1045
10Denver Summit W3011811+1141
11Orlando Pride W3011316-836
12Houston Dash W309615-633
13Boston Legacy W309615-1233
14Bay FC W307617-1727
15Racing Louisville W307320-2424
16Chicago Red Stars W305223-5417

More NWSL Women predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Racing Louisville W vs Denver Summit W?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Racing Louisville W vs Denver Summit W?

On our numbers Racing Louisville W have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Denver Summit W 47%.

How many goals will there be in Racing Louisville W vs Denver Summit W?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Racing Louisville W vs Denver Summit W?

Our predicted score is Racing Louisville W 1–1 Denver Summit W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Racing Louisville W vs Denver Summit W?

Racing Louisville W vs Denver Summit W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Lynn Family Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.