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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Washington Spirit W v Houston Dash W: numbers & prediction

NWSL Women · USA · Audi Field
Washington Spirit W 64%Draw 22%Houston Dash W 14% Expected goals 1.86 – 0.83
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultWashington Spirit W to win ✓64% · @1.30
Double chanceWashington Spirit W or draw ✓86% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.26

Washington Spirit W vs Houston Dash W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 4 July the NWSL Women brings Washington Spirit W against Houston Dash W at Audi Field. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Washington Spirit W are 3rd, among the top four, on 55 points after 30 matches; Houston Dash W are 12th (lower half) with 33. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Washington Spirit W, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Seattle Reign FC W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Houston Dash W, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to NJNY Gotham FC W, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Washington Spirit W, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Houston Dash W.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Washington Spirit W 1.9 xG, Houston Dash W 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Washington Spirit W 64%, draw 22%, Houston Dash W 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Washington Spirit W 2–0 Houston Dash W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Washington Spirit W64%fair 1.56 · @1.30
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @4.40
Houston Dash W14%fair 7.18 · @9.00
2.69Expected goals
1.86Washington Spirit W xG
0.83Houston Dash W xG
54%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%

From our goals model: Washington Spirit W 1.9 – 0.8 Houston Dash W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWashington Spirit W to win ✓64%1.561.30
Double chanceWashington Spirit W or draw ✓86%1.161.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.851.95 ▲
Draw no betWashington Spirit W (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapWashington Spirit W -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.901.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.461.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreWashington Spirit W to score first65%1.55–
Half-time resultWashington Spirit W ahead at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Washington Spirit W / FT Washington Spirit W ✗39%2.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.26–

Recent results

Washington Spirit W – last 6

WLWLWW
30 Mayvs Seattle Reign FC W2–1W
24 May@ América W3–5L
21 Mayvs Pachuca W1–0W
16 May@ San Diego Wave W1–2L
11 May@ Seattle Reign FC1–0W
30 Aprvs Racing Louisville W1–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Houston Dash W – last 6

LWDLLL
31 May@ NJNY Gotham FC W0–1L
24 Mayvs Angel City W2–1W
21 Mayvs San Diego Wave W2–2D
16 May@ Kansas City W0–3L
10 Mayvs Denver Summit W1–4L
7 May@ Utah Royals W0–2L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Washington Spirit W and Houston Dash W.

Washington Spirit W vs Houston Dash W head-to-head page →

NWSL Women table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1NJ/NY Gotham FC W301875+1661
2San Diego Wave W301848+1458
3Washington Spirit W301749+1555
4Kansas City W301659+1553
5Angel City W301578+2252
6Portland Thorns W301488+950
7Utah Royals W3014511+547
8Seattle Reign FC W3014511+447
9North Carolina Courage W3014313+1045
10Denver Summit W3011811+1141
11Orlando Pride W3011316-836
12Houston Dash W309615-633
13Boston Legacy W309615-1233
14Bay FC W307617-1727
15Racing Louisville W307320-2424
16Chicago Red Stars W305223-5417

More NWSL Women predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Washington Spirit W vs Houston Dash W?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Washington Spirit W vs Houston Dash W?

On our numbers Washington Spirit W have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Houston Dash W 14%.

How many goals will there be in Washington Spirit W vs Houston Dash W?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Washington Spirit W vs Houston Dash W?

Our predicted score is Washington Spirit W 2–0 Houston Dash W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Washington Spirit W vs Houston Dash W?

Washington Spirit W vs Houston Dash W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Audi Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.