Racing Louisville W 39%Draw 24%Bay FC W 37%Expected goals 1.51 – 1.40
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultRacing Louisville W to win ✗39% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.53
Racing Louisville W vs Bay FC W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bay FC W travel to face Racing Louisville W on Saturday 11 July in the NWSL Women, with Lynn Family Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Racing Louisville W are 15th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 30 matches; Bay FC W are 14th (in the drop zone) with 27. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Racing Louisville W, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Portland Thorns W, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Bay FC W, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Boston Legacy W, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Racing Louisville W, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Bay FC W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Racing Louisville W 1.5 xG, Bay FC W 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Racing Louisville W 39%, draw 24%, Bay FC W 37%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Racing Louisville W 1–1 Bay FC W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Racing Louisville W39%fair 2.55 · @2.38
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.50
Bay FC W37%fair 2.74 · @2.55
2.91Expected goals
1.51Racing Louisville W xG
1.40Bay FC W xG
64%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Racing Louisville W 1.5 – 1.4 Bay FC W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Racing Louisville W to win✗
39%
2.55
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.50
Draw no bet
Racing Louisville W (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Bay FC W +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Racing Louisville W to score first✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Racing Louisville W / FT Racing Louisville W✗
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.53
–
Recent results
Racing Louisville W – last 6
LWWWLD
6 Jul
@ Portland Thorns W
0–4
L
27 Jun
vs Toledo Villa W
3–0
W
25 Jun
@ Dayton Dutch Lions W
4–3
W
17 Jun
vs Dayton Dutch Lions W
2–1
W
11 Jun
@ Indy Eleven W
0–3
L
30 May
@ Dayton Dutch Lions W
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Bay FC W – last 6
DLLLDW
5 Jul
@ Boston Legacy W
2–2
D
30 May
@ Orlando Pride W
1–3
L
24 May
vs Chicago Red Stars W
0–1
L
21 May
@ Portland Thorns W
0–2
L
16 May
vs Boston Legacy W
1–1
D
4 May
@ San Diego Wave W
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Racing Louisville W and Bay FC W.
What is the prediction for Racing Louisville W vs Bay FC W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Racing Louisville W vs Bay FC W?
On our numbers Racing Louisville W have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bay FC W 37%.
How many goals will there be in Racing Louisville W vs Bay FC W?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Racing Louisville W vs Bay FC W?
Our predicted score is Racing Louisville W 1–1 Bay FC W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Racing Louisville W vs Bay FC W?
Racing Louisville W vs Bay FC W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Lynn Family Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
