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Seattle Reign FC W v Portland Thorns W: numbers & prediction

NWSL Women · USA · Lumen Field
Seattle Reign FC W 36%Draw 26%Portland Thorns W 38% Expected goals 1.38 – 1.22
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
1

Value bet: Seattle Reign FC W to win @ 2.95 – our chance 36% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultPortland Thorns W to win ✗38% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.09

Seattle Reign FC W vs Portland Thorns W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 12 July the NWSL Women brings Seattle Reign FC W against Portland Thorns W at Lumen Field. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Seattle Reign FC W are 8th, upper half, on 47 points after 30 matches; Portland Thorns W are 6th (upper half) with 50. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Seattle Reign FC W, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to North Carolina Courage W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Portland Thorns W, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Racing Louisville W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Portland Thorns W, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Seattle Reign FC W.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Mar 2026) it ended Portland Thorns W 2–0 Seattle Reign FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Seattle Reign FC W 1.4 xG, Portland Thorns W 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Seattle Reign FC W 36%, draw 26%, Portland Thorns W 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: Seattle Reign FC W to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Seattle Reign FC W 1–1 Portland Thorns W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Seattle Reign FC W36%fair 2.75 · @2.95
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.25
Portland Thorns W38%fair 2.63 · @2.20
2.60Expected goals
1.38Seattle Reign FC W xG
1.22Portland Thorns W xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Seattle Reign FC W 1.4 – 1.2 Portland Thorns W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPortland Thorns W to win ✗38%2.632.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.751.67
Draw no betPortland Thorns W (draw no bet) ✗51%1.95–
Asian handicapPortland Thorns W +1 (Asian handicap) ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.961.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.381.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreSeattle Reign FC W to score first ✓49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Seattle Reign FC W / FT Seattle Reign FC W ✓24%4.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%13.09–

Recent results

Seattle Reign FC W – last 6

LLWLLD
5 Jul@ North Carolina Courage W1–3L
30 May@ Washington Spirit W1–2L
23 May@ Boston Legacy W2–1W
16 Mayvs NJNY Gotham FC W0–2L
11 Mayvs Washington Spirit W0–1L
5 Aprvs Denver Summit W0–0D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Portland Thorns W – last 6

WDLWDL
6 Julvs Racing Louisville W4–0W
30 Mayvs Utah Royals W2–2D
24 May@ Kansas City W1–3L
21 Mayvs Bay FC W2–0W
17 Mayvs Angel City W0–0D
8 May@ Racing Louisville W1–3L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Mar 2026Portland Thorns W v Seattle Reign FC2–0
Seattle Reign FC W vs Portland Thorns W head-to-head page →

NWSL Women table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1NJ/NY Gotham FC W301875+1661
2San Diego Wave W301848+1458
3Washington Spirit W301749+1555
4Kansas City W301659+1553
5Angel City W301578+2252
6Portland Thorns W301488+950
7Utah Royals W3014511+547
8Seattle Reign FC W3014511+447
9North Carolina Courage W3014313+1045
10Denver Summit W3011811+1141
11Orlando Pride W3011316-836
12Houston Dash W309615-633
13Boston Legacy W309615-1233
14Bay FC W307617-1727
15Racing Louisville W307320-2424
16Chicago Red Stars W305223-5417

More NWSL Women predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Seattle Reign FC W vs Portland Thorns W?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Seattle Reign FC W vs Portland Thorns W?

On our numbers Seattle Reign FC W have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Portland Thorns W 38%.

How many goals will there be in Seattle Reign FC W vs Portland Thorns W?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Seattle Reign FC W vs Portland Thorns W?

Our predicted score is Seattle Reign FC W 1–1 Portland Thorns W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Seattle Reign FC W vs Portland Thorns W?

Seattle Reign FC W vs Portland Thorns W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Lumen Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.