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Bay FC W v North Carolina Courage W: numbers & prediction

NWSL Women · USA · PayPal Park
Bay FC W 30%Draw 24%North Carolina Courage W 46% Expected goals 1.19 – 1.60
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultNorth Carolina Courage W to win ✗46% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.70

Bay FC W vs North Carolina Courage W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bay FC W welcome North Carolina Courage W to PayPal Park for a NWSL Women fixture on Saturday 18 July (21:00 WAT). In the table, Bay FC W are 14th, in the drop zone, on 27 points after 30 matches; North Carolina Courage W are 9th (lower half) with 45. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Bay FC W, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Racing Louisville W, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

North Carolina Courage W, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Washington Spirit W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours North Carolina Courage W, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Bay FC W.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended North Carolina Courage W 1–3 Bay FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bay FC W 1.2 xG, North Carolina Courage W 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bay FC W 30%, draw 24%, North Carolina Courage W 46%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bay FC W 1–1 North Carolina Courage W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bay FC W30%fair 3.33 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.50
North Carolina Courage W46%fair 2.17 · @2.10
2.79Expected goals
1.19Bay FC W xG
1.60North Carolina Courage W xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: Bay FC W 1.2 – 1.6 North Carolina Courage W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNorth Carolina Courage W to win ✗46%2.172.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.631.57
Draw no betNorth Carolina Courage W (draw no bet) ✗61%1.65–
Asian handicapBay FC W +1 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.311.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.861.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.471.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreNorth Carolina Courage W to score first ✗54%1.86–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT North Carolina Courage W / FT North Carolina Courage W ✗28%3.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.70–

Recent results

Bay FC W – last 6

WDLLLD
11 Jul@ Racing Louisville W2–0W
5 Jul@ Boston Legacy W2–2D
30 May@ Orlando Pride W1–3L
24 Mayvs Chicago Red Stars W0–1L
21 May@ Portland Thorns W0–2L
16 Mayvs Boston Legacy W1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

North Carolina Courage W – last 6

LWWWLL
11 Julvs Washington Spirit W0–2L
5 Julvs Seattle Reign FC W3–1W
1 Jun@ Angel City W2–1W
16 Mayvs Chicago Red Stars W4–0W
9 May@ Orlando Pride W0–1L
2 Mayvs Kansas City W1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026North Carolina Courage W v Bay FC1–3
Bay FC W vs North Carolina Courage W head-to-head page →

NWSL Women table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1NJ/NY Gotham FC W301875+1661
2San Diego Wave W301848+1458
3Washington Spirit W301749+1555
4Kansas City W301659+1553
5Angel City W301578+2252
6Portland Thorns W301488+950
7Utah Royals W3014511+547
8Seattle Reign FC W3014511+447
9North Carolina Courage W3014313+1045
10Denver Summit W3011811+1141
11Orlando Pride W3011316-836
12Houston Dash W309615-633
13Boston Legacy W309615-1233
14Bay FC W307617-1727
15Racing Louisville W307320-2424
16Chicago Red Stars W305223-5417

More NWSL Women predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bay FC W vs North Carolina Courage W?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Bay FC W vs North Carolina Courage W?

On our numbers Bay FC W have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 24% and North Carolina Courage W 46%.

How many goals will there be in Bay FC W vs North Carolina Courage W?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bay FC W vs North Carolina Courage W?

Our predicted score is Bay FC W 1–1 North Carolina Courage W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Bay FC W vs North Carolina Courage W?

Bay FC W vs North Carolina Courage W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at PayPal Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.