Value bet: Houston Dash W to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHouston Dash W to win ✓39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.29
Houston Dash W vs Bay FC W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 25 July the NWSL Women brings Houston Dash W against Bay FC W at Shell Energy Stadium. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Houston Dash W are 12th, lower half, on 33 points after 30 matches; Bay FC W are 14th (in the drop zone) with 27.
Current form
Houston Dash W, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Racing Louisville W, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Bay FC W, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over North Carolina Courage W, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Houston Dash W 1.4 xG, Bay FC W 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Houston Dash W 39%, draw 25%, Bay FC W 36%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Houston Dash W to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Houston Dash W 1–1 Bay FC W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Houston Dash W39%fair 2.57 · @2.75
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.40
Bay FC W36%fair 2.76 · @2.25
2.67Expected goals
1.45Houston Dash W xG
1.23Bay FC W xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Houston Dash W 1.4 – 1.2 Bay FC W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Houston Dash W to win✓
39%
2.57
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.60
Draw no bet
Houston Dash W (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Bay FC W +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Houston Dash W to score first✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Houston Dash W / FT Houston Dash W✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.29
–
Recent results
Houston Dash W – last 6
DDLLWD
19 Jul
@ Racing Louisville W
1–1
D
13 Jul
@ Denver Summit W
2–2
D
4 Jul
@ Washington Spirit W
1–2
L
31 May
@ NJNY Gotham FC W
0–1
L
24 May
vs Angel City W
2–1
W
21 May
vs San Diego Wave W
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bay FC W – last 6
WWDLLL
18 Jul
vs North Carolina Courage W
3–0
W
11 Jul
@ Racing Louisville W
2–0
W
5 Jul
@ Boston Legacy W
2–2
D
30 May
@ Orlando Pride W
1–3
L
24 May
vs Chicago Red Stars W
0–1
L
21 May
@ Portland Thorns W
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Houston Dash W and Bay FC W.
What is the prediction for Houston Dash W vs Bay FC W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Houston Dash W vs Bay FC W?
On our numbers Houston Dash W have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bay FC W 36%.
How many goals will there be in Houston Dash W vs Bay FC W?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Houston Dash W vs Bay FC W?
Our predicted score is Houston Dash W 1–1 Bay FC W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Houston Dash W vs Bay FC W?
Houston Dash W vs Bay FC W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Shell Energy Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
