Double chanceNJNY Gotham FC W or draw ✓82% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.71
Bay FC W vs NJNY Gotham FC W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bay FC W welcome NJNY Gotham FC W to PayPal Park for a NWSL Women fixture on Thursday 30 July (03:00 WAT). In the table, Bay FC W are 14th, in the drop zone, on 27 points after 30 matches; NJNY Gotham FC W are 1st (leading the league) with 61. There are 34 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Bay FC W, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Houston Dash W, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
NJNY Gotham FC W, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Portland Thorns W, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours NJNY Gotham FC W, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Bay FC W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bay FC W 0.8 xG, NJNY Gotham FC W 1.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bay FC W 18%, draw 25%, NJNY Gotham FC W 56%.
Lower-risk option: NJNY Gotham FC W or draw (82%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (71%, odds 1.45 – longer than our fair 1.41, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bay FC W 0–1 NJNY Gotham FC W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bay FC W18%fair 5.46 · @4.40
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.95
NJNY Gotham FC W56%fair 1.78 · @1.62
2.43Expected goals
0.84Bay FC W xG
1.59NJNY Gotham FC W xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–112%
0–211%
1–29%
0–09%
1–07%
From our goals model: Bay FC W 0.8 – 1.6 NJNY Gotham FC W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NJNY Gotham FC W to win✓
56%
1.78
1.62
Double chance
NJNY Gotham FC W or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.65
Draw no bet
NJNY Gotham FC W (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Bay FC W +1 (Asian handicap)
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
NJNY Gotham FC W to score first✓
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NJNY Gotham FC W / FT NJNY Gotham FC W✓
33%
2.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.71
–
Recent results
Bay FC W – last 6
LWWDLL
25 Jul
@ Houston Dash W
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs North Carolina Courage W
3–0
W
11 Jul
@ Racing Louisville W
2–0
W
5 Jul
@ Boston Legacy W
2–2
D
30 May
@ Orlando Pride W
1–3
L
24 May
vs Chicago Red Stars W
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
NJNY Gotham FC W – last 6
DWWWLW
25 Jul
@ Portland Thorns W
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs Seattle Reign FC W
3–2
W
16 Jul
vs Washington Spirit W
1–0
W
11 Jul
@ Utah Royals W
3–1
W
5 Jul
@ San Diego Wave W
0–2
L
27 Jun
vs Kansas City W
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bay FC W and NJNY Gotham FC W.
What is the prediction for Bay FC W vs NJNY Gotham FC W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Bay FC W vs NJNY Gotham FC W?
On our numbers Bay FC W have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 25% and NJNY Gotham FC W 56%.
How many goals will there be in Bay FC W vs NJNY Gotham FC W?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bay FC W vs NJNY Gotham FC W?
Our predicted score is Bay FC W 0–1 NJNY Gotham FC W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Bay FC W vs NJNY Gotham FC W?
Bay FC W vs NJNY Gotham FC W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Thursday 30 July 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at PayPal Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
