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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chicago Red Stars W v Bay FC W: numbers & prediction

NWSL Women · USA · Northwestern Medicine Field at Martin Stadium
0–0
FT
Chicago Red Stars W 21%Draw 25%Bay FC W 55% Expected goals 0.98 – 1.69
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultBay FC W to win ✗55% · @1.73
Double chanceBay FC W or draw ✓79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.32

Chicago Red Stars W vs Bay FC W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bay FC W travel to face Chicago Red Stars W on Monday 10 August in the NWSL Women, with Northwestern Medicine Field at Martin Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Chicago Red Stars W are 16th, in the drop zone, on 17 points after 30 matches; Bay FC W are 14th (in the drop zone) with 27.

Current form

Chicago Red Stars W, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Racing Louisville W, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Bay FC W, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Seattle Reign FC W, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Bay FC W 0–1 Chicago Red Stars W.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chicago Red Stars W 1.0 xG, Bay FC W 1.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chicago Red Stars W 21%, draw 25%, Bay FC W 55%.
  • Lower-risk option: Bay FC W or draw (79%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chicago Red Stars W 1–1 Bay FC W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chicago Red Stars W21%fair 4.79 · @4.00
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.75
Bay FC W55%fair 1.83 · @1.73
2.67Expected goals
0.98Chicago Red Stars W xG
1.69Bay FC W xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%

From our goals model: Chicago Red Stars W 1.0 – 1.7 Bay FC W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBay FC W to win ✗55%1.831.73
Double chanceBay FC W or draw ✓79%1.261.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.641.57
Draw no betBay FC W (draw no bet)72%1.38–
Asian handicapChicago Red Stars W +1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.311.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.881.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.471.45
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreBay FC W to score first ✗59%1.69–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bay FC W / FT Bay FC W ✗33%3.01–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.32–

Recent results

Chicago Red Stars W – last 6

LLLLWW
1 Aug@ Racing Louisville W1–2L
25 Jul@ Orlando Pride W0–1L
18 Julvs Angel City W0–2L
11 Jul@ Boston Legacy W0–2L
5 Julvs Utah Royals W3–2W
24 May@ Bay FC W1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Bay FC W – last 6

LLLWWD
2 Augvs Seattle Reign FC W2–3L
30 Julvs NJNY Gotham FC W0–1L
25 Jul@ Houston Dash W0–1L
18 Julvs North Carolina Courage W3–0W
11 Jul@ Racing Louisville W2–0W
5 Jul@ Boston Legacy W2–2D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026Bay FC W v Chicago Red Stars W0–1
Chicago Red Stars W vs Bay FC W head-to-head page →

NWSL Women table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1NJ/NY Gotham FC W301875+1661
2San Diego Wave W301848+1458
3Washington Spirit W301749+1555
4Kansas City W301659+1553
5Angel City W301578+2252
6Portland Thorns W301488+950
7Utah Royals W3014511+547
8Seattle Reign FC W3014511+447
9North Carolina Courage W3014313+1045
10Denver Summit W3011811+1141
11Orlando Pride W3011316-836
12Houston Dash W309615-633
13Boston Legacy W309615-1233
14Bay FC W307617-1727
15Racing Louisville W307320-2424
16Chicago Red Stars W305223-5417

More NWSL Women predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chicago Red Stars W vs Bay FC W?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Chicago Red Stars W vs Bay FC W?

On our numbers Chicago Red Stars W have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bay FC W 55%.

How many goals will there be in Chicago Red Stars W vs Bay FC W?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chicago Red Stars W vs Bay FC W?

Our predicted score is Chicago Red Stars W 1–1 Bay FC W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Chicago Red Stars W vs Bay FC W?

Chicago Red Stars W vs Bay FC W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Monday 10 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Northwestern Medicine Field at Martin Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.