Houston Dash W 67%Draw 21%Chicago Red Stars W 12%Expected goals 2.00 – 0.73
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultHouston Dash W to win ✓67% · @1.55
Double chanceHouston Dash W or draw ✓88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Houston Dash W vs Chicago Red Stars W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Thursday 20 August: Houston Dash W v Chicago Red Stars W in the NWSL Women, played at Shell Energy Stadium. In the table, Houston Dash W are 12th, lower half, on 33 points after 30 matches; Chicago Red Stars W are 16th (in the drop zone) with 17. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Houston Dash W, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over North Carolina Courage W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Chicago Red Stars W, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Seattle Reign FC W, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Momentum favours Houston Dash W, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.2 for Chicago Red Stars W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Houston Dash W 2.0 xG, Chicago Red Stars W 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Houston Dash W 67%, draw 21%, Chicago Red Stars W 12%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (67%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Houston Dash W 2–0 Chicago Red Stars W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Houston Dash W67%fair 1.50 · @1.55
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @4.00
Chicago Red Stars W12%fair 8.29 · @5.00
2.73Expected goals
2.00Houston Dash W xG
0.73Chicago Red Stars W xG
56%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–013%
2–110%
1–110%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Houston Dash W 2.0 – 0.7 Chicago Red Stars W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Houston Dash W to win✓
67%
1.50
1.55
Double chance
Houston Dash W or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.65
Draw no bet
Houston Dash W (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Houston Dash W -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.22
First team to score
Houston Dash W to score first✓
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Houston Dash W ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Houston Dash W / FT Houston Dash W✓
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.50
–
Recent results
Houston Dash W – last 6
WDLWDD
17 Aug
@ North Carolina Courage W
3–2
W
9 Aug
vs Kansas City W
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs NJNY Gotham FC W
0–1
L
25 Jul
vs Bay FC W
1–0
W
19 Jul
@ Racing Louisville W
1–1
D
13 Jul
@ Denver Summit W
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Chicago Red Stars W – last 6
LDLLLL
15 Aug
@ Seattle Reign FC W
0–1
L
10 Aug
vs Bay FC W
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ Racing Louisville W
1–2
L
25 Jul
@ Orlando Pride W
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Angel City W
0–2
L
11 Jul
@ Boston Legacy W
0–2
L
0.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Houston Dash W and Chicago Red Stars W.
What is the prediction for Houston Dash W vs Chicago Red Stars W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Houston Dash W vs Chicago Red Stars W?
On our numbers Houston Dash W have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chicago Red Stars W 12%.
How many goals will there be in Houston Dash W vs Chicago Red Stars W?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Houston Dash W vs Chicago Red Stars W?
Our predicted score is Houston Dash W 2–0 Chicago Red Stars W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Houston Dash W vs Chicago Red Stars W?
Houston Dash W vs Chicago Red Stars W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Shell Energy Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
