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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Washington Spirit W v Bay FC W: numbers & prediction

NWSL Women · USA · Audi Field
1–0
FT
Washington Spirit W 67%Draw 19%Bay FC W 14% Expected goals 1.91 – 0.72
70%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.39 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.39Odds

Picks by market

ResultWashington Spirit W to win ✓67% · @1.48
Double chanceWashington Spirit W or draw ✓86% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.58

Washington Spirit W vs Bay FC W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:30 WAT, Sunday 30 August: Washington Spirit W v Bay FC W in the NWSL Women, played at Audi Field. In the table, Washington Spirit W are 3rd, among the top four, on 55 points after 30 matches; Bay FC W are 14th (in the drop zone) with 27. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Washington Spirit W, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Orlando Pride W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Bay FC W, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Houston Dash W, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Washington Spirit W, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Bay FC W.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Washington Spirit W 1.9 xG, Bay FC W 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Washington Spirit W 67%, draw 19%, Bay FC W 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (70%, odds 1.39). Most likely score in line with that pick: Washington Spirit W 1–0 Bay FC W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Washington Spirit W67%fair 1.49 · @1.48
Draw19%fair 5.32 · @4.05
Bay FC W14%fair 6.99 · @5.25
2.63Expected goals
1.91Washington Spirit W xG
0.72Bay FC W xG
54%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: Washington Spirit W 1.9 – 0.7 Bay FC W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWashington Spirit W to win ✓67%1.491.48
Double chanceWashington Spirit W or draw ✓86%1.171.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.851.73
Draw no betWashington Spirit W (draw no bet) ✓82%1.21–
Asian handicapWashington Spirit W -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.921.64
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.441.39
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.181.10
First team to scoreWashington Spirit W to score first ✓68%1.48–
Half-time resultWashington Spirit W ahead at half-time ✓46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Washington Spirit W / FT Washington Spirit W ✓42%2.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.58–

Recent results

Washington Spirit W – last 6

LDLLWW
23 Augvs Orlando Pride W0–1L
17 Aug@ Angel City W1–1D
8 Augvs North Carolina Courage W3–4L
2 Augvs San Diego Wave W0–1L
30 Jul@ Utah Royals W1–0W
27 Julvs Denver Summit W1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Bay FC W – last 6

WLDLLL
23 Augvs Houston Dash W1–0W
15 Aug@ Utah Royals W2–3L
10 Aug@ Chicago Red Stars W0–0D
2 Augvs Seattle Reign FC W2–3L
30 Julvs NJNY Gotham FC W0–1L
25 Jul@ Houston Dash W0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Washington Spirit W and Bay FC W.

Washington Spirit W vs Bay FC W head-to-head page →

NWSL Women table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1NJ/NY Gotham FC W301875+1661
2San Diego Wave W301848+1458
3Washington Spirit W301749+1555
4Kansas City W301659+1553
5Angel City W301578+2252
6Portland Thorns W301488+950
7Utah Royals W3014511+547
8Seattle Reign FC W3014511+447
9North Carolina Courage W3014313+1045
10Denver Summit W3011811+1141
11Orlando Pride W3011316-836
12Houston Dash W309615-633
13Boston Legacy W309615-1233
14Bay FC W307617-1727
15Racing Louisville W307320-2424
16Chicago Red Stars W305223-5417

More NWSL Women predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Washington Spirit W vs Bay FC W?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.

Who will win Washington Spirit W vs Bay FC W?

On our numbers Washington Spirit W have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Bay FC W 14%.

How many goals will there be in Washington Spirit W vs Bay FC W?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Washington Spirit W vs Bay FC W?

Our predicted score is Washington Spirit W 1–0 Bay FC W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Washington Spirit W vs Bay FC W?

Washington Spirit W vs Bay FC W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Audi Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.