Orlando Pride W 64%Draw 20%Houston Dash W 16%Expected goals 1.86 – 0.80
84%
Betarazi pick
Orlando Pride W or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Orlando Pride W to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultOrlando Pride W to win ✓64% · @1.75
Double chanceOrlando Pride W or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.34
Orlando Pride W vs Houston Dash W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Houston Dash W travel to face Orlando Pride W on Monday 7 September in the NWSL Women – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Orlando Pride W are 11th, lower half, on 36 points after 30 matches; Houston Dash W are 12th (lower half) with 33. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Orlando Pride W, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Utah Royals W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Houston Dash W, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Seattle Reign FC W, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Orlando Pride W 1.9 xG, Houston Dash W 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Orlando Pride W 64%, draw 20%, Houston Dash W 16%.
Lower-risk option: Orlando Pride W or draw (84%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Orlando Pride W to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Orlando Pride W or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orlando Pride W 1–0 Houston Dash W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Orlando Pride W64%fair 1.57 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.50
Houston Dash W16%fair 6.14 · @3.70
2.66Expected goals
1.86Orlando Pride W xG
0.80Houston Dash W xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Orlando Pride W 1.9 – 0.8 Houston Dash W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Orlando Pride W to win✓
64%
1.57
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Orlando Pride W or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.62
Draw no bet
Orlando Pride W (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Orlando Pride W -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Orlando Pride W to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Orlando Pride W ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Orlando Pride W / FT Orlando Pride W✓
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.34
–
Recent results
Orlando Pride W – last 6
LWLLLW
30 Aug
vs Utah Royals W
1–2
L
23 Aug
@ Washington Spirit W
1–0
W
16 Aug
@ Portland Thorns W
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Racing Louisville W
1–3
L
1 Aug
@ North Carolina Courage W
0–5
L
25 Jul
vs Chicago Red Stars W
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Houston Dash W – last 6
LLWWDL
31 Aug
@ Seattle Reign FC W
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Bay FC W
0–1
L
20 Aug
vs Chicago Red Stars W
5–0
W
17 Aug
@ North Carolina Courage W
3–2
W
9 Aug
vs Kansas City W
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs NJNY Gotham FC W
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orlando Pride W and Houston Dash W.
What is the prediction for Orlando Pride W vs Houston Dash W?
Our pick is Orlando Pride W or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Orlando Pride W vs Houston Dash W?
On our numbers Orlando Pride W have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Houston Dash W 16%.
How many goals will there be in Orlando Pride W vs Houston Dash W?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orlando Pride W vs Houston Dash W?
Our predicted score is Orlando Pride W 1–0 Houston Dash W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Orlando Pride W vs Houston Dash W?
Orlando Pride W vs Houston Dash W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
