Double chancePortland Thorns W or draw ✓90% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.53
Portland Thorns W vs Chicago Red Stars W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 14 September the NWSL Women brings Portland Thorns W against Chicago Red Stars W at Providence Park. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Portland Thorns W are 6th, upper half, on 50 points after 30 matches; Chicago Red Stars W are 16th (in the drop zone) with 17. There are 33 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Portland Thorns W, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Washington Spirit W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Chicago Red Stars W, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to North Carolina Courage W, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Portland Thorns W, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Chicago Red Stars W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Portland Thorns W 2.2 xG, Chicago Red Stars W 0.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Portland Thorns W 69%, draw 21%, Chicago Red Stars W 10%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Portland Thorns W to win (69%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portland Thorns W 2–0 Chicago Red Stars W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Portland Thorns W69%fair 1.45 · @1.22
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @5.00
Chicago Red Stars W10%fair 10.08 · @9.00
2.93Expected goals
2.18Portland Thorns W xG
0.75Chicago Red Stars W xG
55%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
2–19%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Portland Thorns W 2.2 – 0.7 Chicago Red Stars W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portland Thorns W to win✗
69%
1.45
1.22
Double chance
Portland Thorns W or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.67
Draw no bet
Portland Thorns W (draw no bet)
87%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Portland Thorns W -1 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Portland Thorns W to score first✓
71%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Portland Thorns W ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portland Thorns W / FT Portland Thorns W✗
46%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.53
–
Recent results
Portland Thorns W – last 6
LDWWWL
6 Sep
vs Washington Spirit W
1–2
L
29 Aug
@ NJNY Gotham FC W
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Denver Summit W
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Orlando Pride W
2–1
W
9 Aug
@ Boston Legacy W
4–3
W
3 Aug
@ Utah Royals W
1–5
L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chicago Red Stars W – last 6
LLWLLD
6 Sep
vs North Carolina Courage W
0–6
L
30 Aug
@ Denver Summit W
1–6
L
23 Aug
vs Racing Louisville W
3–2
W
20 Aug
@ Houston Dash W
0–5
L
15 Aug
@ Seattle Reign FC W
0–1
L
10 Aug
vs Bay FC W
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portland Thorns W and Chicago Red Stars W.
What is the prediction for Portland Thorns W vs Chicago Red Stars W?
Our pick is Portland Thorns W to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Portland Thorns W vs Chicago Red Stars W?
On our numbers Portland Thorns W have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chicago Red Stars W 10%.
How many goals will there be in Portland Thorns W vs Chicago Red Stars W?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portland Thorns W vs Chicago Red Stars W?
Our predicted score is Portland Thorns W 2–0 Chicago Red Stars W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Portland Thorns W vs Chicago Red Stars W?
Portland Thorns W vs Chicago Red Stars W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Providence Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
