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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bay FC W v Racing Louisville W: numbers & prediction

NWSL Women · USA · Avaya Stadium
2–0
FT
Bay FC W 60%Draw 15%Racing Louisville W 25% Expected goals 1.86 – 1.06
60%
Betarazi pick

Bay FC W to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.95Odds

Picks by market

ResultBay FC W to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11

Bay FC W vs Racing Louisville W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bay FC W welcome Racing Louisville W to Avaya Stadium for a NWSL Women fixture on Monday 21 September (00:05 WAT). In the table, Bay FC W are 14th, in the drop zone, on 27 points after 30 matches; Racing Louisville W are 15th (in the drop zone) with 24. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Bay FC W, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Denver Summit W, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Racing Louisville W, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to NJNY Gotham FC W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Jul 2026) it ended Racing Louisville W 0–2 Bay FC W.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bay FC W 1.9 xG, Racing Louisville W 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bay FC W 60%, draw 15%, Racing Louisville W 25%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Bay FC W to win (60%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.67, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bay FC W 1–0 Racing Louisville W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bay FC W60%fair 1.67 · @1.95
Draw15%fair 6.66 · @3.40
Racing Louisville W25%fair 4.01 · @3.10
2.92Expected goals
1.86Bay FC W xG
1.06Racing Louisville W xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%

From our goals model: Bay FC W 1.9 – 1.1 Racing Louisville W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBay FC W to win ✓60%1.671.95 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85%1.181.25 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.681.44
Draw no betBay FC W (draw no bet) ✓71%1.42–
Asian handicapRacing Louisville W +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.79–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreBay FC W to score first ✓60%1.66–
Half-time resultBay FC W ahead at half-time ✗41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bay FC W / FT Bay FC W ✗35%2.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.11–

Recent results

Bay FC W – last 6

DLLLWL
17 Sep@ Denver Summit W2–2D
13 Sep@ Seattle Reign FC W0–2L
5 Sepvs Kansas City W1–2L
30 Aug@ Washington Spirit W0–1L
23 Augvs Houston Dash W1–0W
15 Aug@ Utah Royals W2–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Racing Louisville W – last 6

LLLLWW
11 Sepvs NJNY Gotham FC W1–2L
5 Sepvs Angel City W0–2L
29 Aug@ San Diego Wave W2–3L
23 Aug@ Chicago Red Stars W2–3L
19 Augvs Seattle Reign FC W2–1W
15 Augvs Boston Legacy W4–1W
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Jul 2026Racing Louisville W v Bay FC W0–2
Bay FC W vs Racing Louisville W head-to-head page →

NWSL Women table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1NJ/NY Gotham FC W301875+1661
2San Diego Wave W301848+1458
3Washington Spirit W301749+1555
4Kansas City W301659+1553
5Angel City W301578+2252
6Portland Thorns W301488+950
7Utah Royals W3014511+547
8Seattle Reign FC W3014511+447
9North Carolina Courage W3014313+1045
10Denver Summit W3011811+1141
11Orlando Pride W3011316-836
12Houston Dash W309615-633
13Boston Legacy W309615-1233
14Bay FC W307617-1727
15Racing Louisville W307320-2424
16Chicago Red Stars W305223-5417

More NWSL Women predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bay FC W vs Racing Louisville W?

Our pick is Bay FC W to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Bay FC W vs Racing Louisville W?

On our numbers Bay FC W have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Racing Louisville W 25%.

How many goals will there be in Bay FC W vs Racing Louisville W?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bay FC W vs Racing Louisville W?

Our predicted score is Bay FC W 1–0 Racing Louisville W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Bay FC W vs Racing Louisville W?

Bay FC W vs Racing Louisville W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 00:05 (West Africa Time) at Avaya Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.