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Racing Louisville W v San Diego Wave W: numbers & prediction

NWSL Women · USA · Lynn Family Stadium
Racing Louisville W 16%Draw 21%San Diego Wave W 64% Expected goals 0.90 – 2.04
84%
Betarazi pick

San Diego Wave W or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: San Diego Wave W to win @ 1.70 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSan Diego Wave W to win ✓64% · @1.70
Double chanceSan Diego Wave W or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.10

Racing Louisville W vs San Diego Wave W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Racing Louisville W welcome San Diego Wave W to Lynn Family Stadium for a NWSL Women fixture on Friday 25 September (23:30 WAT). In the table, Racing Louisville W are 15th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 30 matches; San Diego Wave W are 2nd (among the top four) with 58. There are 34 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Racing Louisville W, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Bay FC W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

San Diego Wave W, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Kansas City W, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours San Diego Wave W, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Racing Louisville W.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Aug 2026) it ended San Diego Wave W 3–2 Racing Louisville W.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Racing Louisville W 0.9 xG, San Diego Wave W 2.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Racing Louisville W 16%, draw 21%, San Diego Wave W 64%.
  • Lower-risk option: San Diego Wave W or draw (84%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.44.
  • Price worth noting: San Diego Wave W to win @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was San Diego Wave W or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Racing Louisville W 0–2 San Diego Wave W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Racing Louisville W16%fair 6.37 · @3.90
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.50
San Diego Wave W64%fair 1.57 · @1.70
2.94Expected goals
0.90Racing Louisville W xG
2.04San Diego Wave W xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%

From our goals model: Racing Louisville W 0.9 – 2.0 San Diego Wave W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSan Diego Wave W to win ✓64%1.571.70 ▲
Double chanceSan Diego Wave W or draw ✓84%1.191.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.701.44
Draw no betSan Diego Wave W (draw no bet) ✓80%1.25–
Asian handicapSan Diego Wave W -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.78–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreSan Diego Wave W to score first ✓66%1.52–
Half-time resultSan Diego Wave W ahead at half-time ✓46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT San Diego Wave W / FT San Diego Wave W ✓41%2.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.10–

Recent results

Racing Louisville W – last 6

LLLLLW
21 Sep@ Bay FC W0–2L
11 Sepvs NJNY Gotham FC W1–2L
5 Sepvs Angel City W0–2L
29 Aug@ San Diego Wave W2–3L
23 Aug@ Chicago Red Stars W2–3L
19 Augvs Seattle Reign FC W2–1W
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

San Diego Wave W – last 6

WWLWWD
19 Sepvs Kansas City W2–0W
12 Sepvs North Carolina Courage W2–1W
7 Sep@ Seattle Reign FC W0–1L
29 Augvs Racing Louisville W3–2W
22 Augvs Utah Royals W4–2W
15 Augvs Denver Summit W1–1D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Aug 2026San Diego Wave W v Racing Louisville W3–2
Racing Louisville W vs San Diego Wave W head-to-head page →

NWSL Women table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1NJ/NY Gotham FC W301875+1661
2San Diego Wave W301848+1458
3Washington Spirit W301749+1555
4Kansas City W301659+1553
5Angel City W301578+2252
6Portland Thorns W301488+950
7Utah Royals W3014511+547
8Seattle Reign FC W3014511+447
9North Carolina Courage W3014313+1045
10Denver Summit W3011811+1141
11Orlando Pride W3011316-836
12Houston Dash W309615-633
13Boston Legacy W309615-1233
14Bay FC W307617-1727
15Racing Louisville W307320-2424
16Chicago Red Stars W305223-5417

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Racing Louisville W vs San Diego Wave W?

Our pick is San Diego Wave W or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Racing Louisville W vs San Diego Wave W?

On our numbers Racing Louisville W have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 21% and San Diego Wave W 64%.

How many goals will there be in Racing Louisville W vs San Diego Wave W?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Racing Louisville W vs San Diego Wave W?

Our predicted score is Racing Louisville W 0–2 San Diego Wave W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Racing Louisville W vs San Diego Wave W?

Racing Louisville W vs San Diego Wave W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Lynn Family Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.