Portland Thorns W 67%Draw 20%Houston Dash W 12%Expected goals 2.07 – 0.77
67%
Betarazi pick
Portland Thorns W to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultPortland Thorns W to win ✗67% · @1.44
Double chancePortland Thorns W or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.38
Portland Thorns W vs Houston Dash W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Portland Thorns W welcome Houston Dash W to Providence Park for a NWSL Women fixture on Sunday 27 September (01:45 WAT). In the table, Portland Thorns W are 6th, upper half, on 50 points after 30 matches; Houston Dash W are 12th (lower half) with 33. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Portland Thorns W, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Orlando Pride W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Houston Dash W, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Boston Legacy W, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Portland Thorns W, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Houston Dash W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Portland Thorns W 2.1 xG, Houston Dash W 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Portland Thorns W 67%, draw 20%, Houston Dash W 12%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Portland Thorns W to win (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portland Thorns W 2–0 Houston Dash W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Portland Thorns W67%fair 1.49 · @1.44
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @4.20
Houston Dash W12%fair 8.10 · @5.00
2.84Expected goals
2.07Portland Thorns W xG
0.77Houston Dash W xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Portland Thorns W 2.1 – 0.8 Houston Dash W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portland Thorns W to win✗
67%
1.49
1.44
Double chance
Portland Thorns W or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.57
Draw no bet
Portland Thorns W (draw no bet)
84%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Portland Thorns W -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Portland Thorns W to score first✗
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Portland Thorns W ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portland Thorns W / FT Portland Thorns W✗
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.38
–
Recent results
Portland Thorns W – last 6
WDLDWW
19 Sep
@ Orlando Pride W
4–1
W
14 Sep
vs Chicago Red Stars W
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Washington Spirit W
1–2
L
29 Aug
@ NJNY Gotham FC W
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Denver Summit W
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Orlando Pride W
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Houston Dash W – last 6
WLLLLW
20 Sep
@ Boston Legacy W
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Utah Royals W
0–1
L
7 Sep
@ Orlando Pride W
1–3
L
31 Aug
@ Seattle Reign FC W
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Bay FC W
0–1
L
20 Aug
vs Chicago Red Stars W
5–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portland Thorns W and Houston Dash W.
What is the prediction for Portland Thorns W vs Houston Dash W?
Our pick is Portland Thorns W to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Portland Thorns W vs Houston Dash W?
On our numbers Portland Thorns W have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Houston Dash W 12%.
How many goals will there be in Portland Thorns W vs Houston Dash W?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portland Thorns W vs Houston Dash W?
Our predicted score is Portland Thorns W 2–0 Houston Dash W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Portland Thorns W vs Houston Dash W?
Portland Thorns W vs Houston Dash W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 01:45 (West Africa Time) at Providence Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
