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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kansas City W v Bay FC W: numbers & prediction

NWSL Women · USA · CPKC Stadium
5–1
FT
Kansas City W 64%Draw 18%Bay FC W 18% Expected goals 1.91 – 0.86
64%
Betarazi pick

Kansas City W to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultKansas City W to win ✓64% · @1.50
Double chanceKansas City W or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18

Kansas City W vs Bay FC W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:30 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Kansas City W v Bay FC W in the NWSL Women, played at CPKC Stadium. In the table, Kansas City W are 4th, among the top four, on 53 points after 30 matches; Bay FC W are 14th (in the drop zone) with 27. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Kansas City W, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Denver Summit W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Bay FC W, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Orlando Pride W, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Kansas City W, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Bay FC W.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Sep 2026) it ended Bay FC W 1–2 Kansas City W.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kansas City W 1.9 xG, Bay FC W 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kansas City W 64%, draw 18%, Bay FC W 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Kansas City W or draw (82%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Kansas City W to win (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kansas City W 1–0 Bay FC W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kansas City W64%fair 1.56 · @1.50
Draw18%fair 5.48 · @4.20
Bay FC W18%fair 5.61 · @4.40
2.77Expected goals
1.91Kansas City W xG
0.86Bay FC W xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: Kansas City W 1.9 – 0.9 Bay FC W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKansas City W to win ✓64%1.561.50
Double chanceKansas City W or draw ✓82%1.221.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.53
Draw no betKansas City W (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapKansas City W -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.91–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.43–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗85%1.17–
First team to scoreKansas City W to score first65%1.54–
Half-time resultKansas City W ahead at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kansas City W / FT Kansas City W ✗39%2.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.18–

Recent results

Kansas City W – last 6

WLDWWD
26 Sepvs Denver Summit W4–1W
19 Sep@ San Diego Wave W0–2L
12 Sepvs Orlando Pride W2–2D
5 Sep@ Bay FC W2–1W
29 Augvs North Carolina Courage W3–2W
22 Augvs Seattle Reign FC W1–1D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Bay FC W – last 6

LWDLLL
27 Sepvs Orlando Pride W1–3L
21 Sepvs Racing Louisville W2–0W
17 Sep@ Denver Summit W2–2D
13 Sep@ Seattle Reign FC W0–2L
5 Sepvs Kansas City W1–2L
30 Aug@ Washington Spirit W0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Sep 2026Bay FC W v Kansas City W1–2
Kansas City W vs Bay FC W head-to-head page →

NWSL Women table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1NJ/NY Gotham FC W301875+1661
2San Diego Wave W301848+1458
3Washington Spirit W301749+1555
4Kansas City W301659+1553
5Angel City W301578+2252
6Portland Thorns W301488+950
7Utah Royals W3014511+547
8Seattle Reign FC W3014511+447
9North Carolina Courage W3014313+1045
10Denver Summit W3011811+1141
11Orlando Pride W3011316-836
12Houston Dash W309615-633
13Boston Legacy W309615-1233
14Bay FC W307617-1727
15Racing Louisville W307320-2424
16Chicago Red Stars W305223-5417

More NWSL Women predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kansas City W vs Bay FC W?

Our pick is Kansas City W to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Kansas City W vs Bay FC W?

On our numbers Kansas City W have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Bay FC W 18%.

How many goals will there be in Kansas City W vs Bay FC W?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kansas City W vs Bay FC W?

Our predicted score is Kansas City W 1–0 Bay FC W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Kansas City W vs Bay FC W?

Kansas City W vs Bay FC W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at CPKC Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.