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Chicago Red Stars W v Denver Summit W: numbers & prediction

NWSL Women · USA · Northwestern Medicine Field at Martin Stadium
Chicago Red Stars W 15%Draw 17%Denver Summit W 68% Expected goals 0.84 – 2.12
68%
Betarazi pick

Denver Summit W to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultDenver Summit W to win ✓68% · @1.33
Double chanceDenver Summit W or draw ✓85% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.22

Chicago Red Stars W vs Denver Summit W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 4 October the NWSL Women brings Chicago Red Stars W against Denver Summit W at Northwestern Medicine Field at Martin Stadium. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Chicago Red Stars W are 16th, in the drop zone, on 17 points after 30 matches; Denver Summit W are 10th (lower half) with 41. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Chicago Red Stars W, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to NJNY Gotham FC W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.5 conceded per game.

Denver Summit W, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Kansas City W, away. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.

Momentum favours Denver Summit W, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Chicago Red Stars W.

Head to head

When they last met (30 Aug 2026) it ended Denver Summit W 6–1 Chicago Red Stars W.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chicago Red Stars W 0.8 xG, Denver Summit W 2.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chicago Red Stars W 15%, draw 17%, Denver Summit W 68%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Denver Summit W to win (68%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chicago Red Stars W 0–2 Denver Summit W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chicago Red Stars W15%fair 6.71 · @6.00
Draw17%fair 5.84 · @4.80
Denver Summit W68%fair 1.47 · @1.33
2.96Expected goals
0.84Chicago Red Stars W xG
2.12Denver Summit W xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%

From our goals model: Chicago Red Stars W 0.8 – 2.1 Denver Summit W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDenver Summit W to win ✓68%1.471.33
Double chanceDenver Summit W or draw ✓85%1.181.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.671.62
Draw no betDenver Summit W (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapDenver Summit W -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.76–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
First team to scoreDenver Summit W to score first ✓68%1.47–
Half-time resultDenver Summit W ahead at half-time ✓48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Denver Summit W / FT Denver Summit W ✓43%2.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.22–

Recent results

Chicago Red Stars W – last 6

LLDLLW
26 Sep@ NJNY Gotham FC W1–3L
20 Sepvs Washington Spirit W0–3L
14 Sep@ Portland Thorns W1–1D
6 Sepvs North Carolina Courage W0–6L
30 Aug@ Denver Summit W1–6L
23 Augvs Racing Louisville W3–2W
1.0Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Denver Summit W – last 6

LWDDWW
26 Sep@ Kansas City W1–4L
20 Sepvs Seattle Reign FC W2–1W
17 Sepvs Bay FC W2–2D
12 Sep@ Angel City W3–3D
6 Sepvs NJNY Gotham FC W3–0W
30 Augvs Chicago Red Stars W6–1W
2.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 Aug 2026Denver Summit W v Chicago Red Stars W6–1
Chicago Red Stars W vs Denver Summit W head-to-head page →

NWSL Women table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1NJ/NY Gotham FC W301875+1661
2San Diego Wave W301848+1458
3Washington Spirit W301749+1555
4Kansas City W301659+1553
5Angel City W301578+2252
6Portland Thorns W301488+950
7Utah Royals W3014511+547
8Seattle Reign FC W3014511+447
9North Carolina Courage W3014313+1045
10Denver Summit W3011811+1141
11Orlando Pride W3011316-836
12Houston Dash W309615-633
13Boston Legacy W309615-1233
14Bay FC W307617-1727
15Racing Louisville W307320-2424
16Chicago Red Stars W305223-5417

More NWSL Women predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chicago Red Stars W vs Denver Summit W?

Our pick is Denver Summit W to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Chicago Red Stars W vs Denver Summit W?

On our numbers Chicago Red Stars W have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Denver Summit W 68%.

How many goals will there be in Chicago Red Stars W vs Denver Summit W?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chicago Red Stars W vs Denver Summit W?

Our predicted score is Chicago Red Stars W 0–2 Denver Summit W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Chicago Red Stars W vs Denver Summit W?

Chicago Red Stars W vs Denver Summit W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Northwestern Medicine Field at Martin Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.