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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fram Reykjavik v Keflavik: numbers & prediction

Úrvalsdeild · Iceland
3–1
FT
Fram Reykjavik 57%Draw 21%Keflavik 23% Expected goals 2.58 – 1.69
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.36Odds
O3.5

Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 1.93 – our chance 55% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultFram Reykjavik to win ✓57% · @1.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.72

Fram Reykjavik vs Keflavik: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 17 April the Úrvalsdeild brings Fram Reykjavik against Keflavik. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Fram Reykjavik are 3rd on 47 points after 27 matches; Keflavik are 6th with 30. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Keflavik, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Fram Reykjavik, at home. Scoring is no problem – 3.3 a game lately.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Mar 2026) it ended Keflavik 4–3 Fram Reykjavik.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fram Reykjavik 2.6 xG, Keflavik 1.7 xG – a total near 4.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 74% and GG at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fram Reykjavik 57%, draw 21%, Keflavik 23%.
  • GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.40.
  • Price worth noting: Over 3.5 goals @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fram Reykjavik 2–1 Keflavik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fram Reykjavik57%fair 1.76 · @1.60
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @4.20
Keflavik23%fair 4.40 · @4.20
4.27Expected goals
2.58Fram Reykjavik xG
1.69Keflavik xG
69%Both score
74%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
3–17%
2–27%
1–16%
3–26%
1–25%

From our goals model: Fram Reykjavik 2.6 – 1.7 Keflavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFram Reykjavik to win ✓57%1.761.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓69%1.451.40
Draw no betFram Reykjavik (draw no bet) ✓71%1.40–
Asian handicapKeflavik +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74%1.351.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓55%1.821.93 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓63%1.581.35
First team to scoreFram Reykjavik to score first ✓60%1.68–
Half-time resultFram Reykjavik ahead at half-time ✓45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fram Reykjavik / FT Fram Reykjavik ✓37%2.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.72–

Recent results

Fram Reykjavik – last 2

LL
6 Mar@ Keflavik3–4L
14 Feb@ HK Kopavogur1–2L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Keflavik – last 3

WWW
6 Marvs Fram Reykjavik4–3W
27 Febvs Ægir3–1W
14 Feb@ Vestri3–2W
3.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Mar 2026Keflavik v Fram Reykjavik4–3
Fram Reykjavik vs Keflavik head-to-head page →

Úrvalsdeild table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik221651+4653
2Fram Reykjavik221363+1445
3KR Reykjavik221354+2544
4Breidablik22868+230
5IA Akranes22868-230
6Keflavik228410-528
7Stjarnan228410-828
8Valur Reykjavik228311-627
9FH hafnarfjordur22499-1221
10Thor Akureyri226313-2821
11KA Akureyri225512-1320
12IBV Vestmannaeyjar224612-1318

More Úrvalsdeild predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fram Reykjavik vs Keflavik?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Fram Reykjavik vs Keflavik?

On our numbers Fram Reykjavik have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Keflavik 23%.

How many goals will there be in Fram Reykjavik vs Keflavik?

We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fram Reykjavik vs Keflavik?

Our predicted score is Fram Reykjavik 2–1 Keflavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.

When is Fram Reykjavik vs Keflavik?

Fram Reykjavik vs Keflavik (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.