Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.42Odds
1
Value bet: Keflavik to win @ 3.95 – our chance 28% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBreidablik to win ✗52% · @1.68
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.42
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.28
Keflavik vs Breidablik: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 22 April the Úrvalsdeild brings Keflavik against Breidablik. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Keflavik are 6th on 30 points after 27 matches; Breidablik are 5th with 36.
Current form
Keflavik, last 4: LWWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Fram Reykjavik, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.
Breidablik, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over IA Akranes, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Keflavik, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.4 for Breidablik.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Keflavik 1.5 xG, Breidablik 1.9 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Keflavik 28%, draw 20%, Breidablik 52%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.42.
Price worth noting: Keflavik to win @3.95 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 28%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Keflavik 1–1 Breidablik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Keflavik28%fair 3.57 · @3.95
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.95
Breidablik52%fair 1.93 · @1.68
3.40Expected goals
1.55Keflavik xG
1.85Breidablik xG
68%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Keflavik 1.5 – 1.9 Breidablik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Breidablik to win✗
52%
1.93
1.68
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
68%
1.48
1.42
Draw no bet
Breidablik (draw no bet)
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
Keflavik +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
First team to score
Breidablik to score first✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Breidablik / FT Breidablik✗
28%
3.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.28
–
Recent results
Keflavik – last 4
LWWW
17 Apr
@ Fram Reykjavik
1–3
L
6 Mar
vs Fram Reykjavik
4–3
W
27 Feb
vs Ægir
3–1
W
14 Feb
@ Vestri
3–2
W
2.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Breidablik – last 5
WDLWL
17 Apr
vs IA Akranes
1–0
W
10 Apr
@ Vikingur Reykjavik
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Leiknir R.
2–3
L
19 Feb
vs FH hafnarfjordur
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Throttur Reykjavik
0–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Keflavik and Breidablik.
What is the prediction for Keflavik vs Breidablik?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Keflavik vs Breidablik?
On our numbers Keflavik have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Breidablik 52%.
How many goals will there be in Keflavik vs Breidablik?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Keflavik vs Breidablik?
Our predicted score is Keflavik 1–1 Breidablik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Keflavik vs Breidablik?
Keflavik vs Breidablik (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
