Thor Akureyri vs Fram Reykjavik: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fram Reykjavik travel to face Thor Akureyri on Thursday 23 April in the Úrvalsdeild, with Thorsvollur the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Thor Akureyri are 4th on 30 points after 27 matches; Fram Reykjavik are 3rd with 47. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Thor Akureyri, last 4: LLWW Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to KR Reykjavik, away. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.
Fram Reykjavik, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Keflavik, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Momentum favours Thor Akureyri, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Fram Reykjavik.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Thor Akureyri 1.6 xG, Fram Reykjavik 2.2 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Thor Akureyri 28%, draw 21%, Fram Reykjavik 51%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.42.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Thor Akureyri 1–2 Fram Reykjavik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Thor Akureyri28%fair 3.52 · @3.20
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.80
Fram Reykjavik51%fair 1.96 · @1.95
3.83Expected goals
1.65Thor Akureyri xG
2.19Fram Reykjavik xG
69%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–18%
2–27%
2–16%
1–36%
0–25%
From our goals model: Thor Akureyri 1.6 – 2.2 Fram Reykjavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fram Reykjavik to win✗
51%
1.96
1.95
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.45
1.42
Draw no bet
Fram Reykjavik (draw no bet)✗
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Thor Akureyri +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
90%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.25
First team to score
Fram Reykjavik to score first✗
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Fram Reykjavik ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fram Reykjavik / FT Fram Reykjavik✗
32%
3.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.74
–
Recent results
Thor Akureyri – last 4
LLWW
17 Apr
@ KR Reykjavik
2–5
L
17 Mar
vs Fylkir
0–2
L
10 Mar
vs Valur Reykjavik
5–1
W
25 Feb
@ Afturelding
5–0
W
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Fram Reykjavik – last 3
WLL
17 Apr
vs Keflavik
3–1
W
6 Mar
@ Keflavik
3–4
L
14 Feb
@ HK Kopavogur
1–2
L
2.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Thor Akureyri and Fram Reykjavik.
What is the prediction for Thor Akureyri vs Fram Reykjavik?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Thor Akureyri vs Fram Reykjavik?
On our numbers Thor Akureyri have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fram Reykjavik 51%.
How many goals will there be in Thor Akureyri vs Fram Reykjavik?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Thor Akureyri vs Fram Reykjavik?
Our predicted score is Thor Akureyri 1–2 Fram Reykjavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Thor Akureyri vs Fram Reykjavik?
Thor Akureyri vs Fram Reykjavik (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Thorsvollur.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
