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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Valur Reykjavik v Keflavik: numbers & prediction

Úrvalsdeild · Iceland
1–1
FT
Valur Reykjavik 45%Draw 21%Keflavik 34% Expected goals 2.02 – 1.73
72%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultValur Reykjavik to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.28
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗72% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.03

Valur Reykjavik vs Keflavik: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 21 June the Úrvalsdeild brings Valur Reykjavik against Keflavik. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Valur Reykjavik are 2nd on 34 points after 27 matches; Keflavik are 6th with 30.

Current form

Valur Reykjavik, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to IA Akranes, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Keflavik, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FH hafnarfjordur, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Valur Reykjavik 2.0 xG, Keflavik 1.7 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 72% and GG at 71%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Valur Reykjavik 45%, draw 21%, Keflavik 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.28.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valur Reykjavik 2–1 Keflavik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Valur Reykjavik45%fair 2.22 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @4.00
Keflavik34%fair 2.91 · @2.80
3.75Expected goals
2.02Valur Reykjavik xG
1.73Keflavik xG
71%Both score
72%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
3–25%

From our goals model: Valur Reykjavik 2.0 – 1.7 Keflavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultValur Reykjavik to win ✗45%2.222.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.261.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓71%1.411.28
Draw no betValur Reykjavik (draw no bet)57%1.76–
Asian handicapKeflavik +1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗72%1.391.30
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗52%1.911.77
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓67%1.491.42
First team to scoreValur Reykjavik to score first ✓53%1.90–
Half-time resultValur Reykjavik ahead at half-time ✓36%2.75–
Half-time / full-timeHT Valur Reykjavik / FT Valur Reykjavik ✗28%3.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.03–

Recent results

Valur Reykjavik – last 6

LLLWWL
16 Jun@ IA Akranes0–1L
31 Mayvs Vikingur Reykjavik1–5L
26 May@ KR Reykjavik1–3L
22 May@ KA Akureyri1–0W
17 Mayvs Breidablik3–2W
8 May@ Fram Reykjavik2–3L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Keflavik – last 6

LLWDWD
14 Junvs FH hafnarfjordur1–2L
31 May@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar1–6L
22 Mayvs Thor Akureyri1–0W
17 Mayvs Stjarnan1–1D
8 May@ IA Akranes3–1W
22 Aprvs Breidablik0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Valur Reykjavik and Keflavik.

Valur Reykjavik vs Keflavik head-to-head page →

Úrvalsdeild table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik221651+4653
2Fram Reykjavik221363+1445
3KR Reykjavik221354+2544
4Breidablik22868+230
5IA Akranes22868-230
6Keflavik228410-528
7Stjarnan228410-828
8Valur Reykjavik228311-627
9FH hafnarfjordur22499-1221
10Thor Akureyri226313-2821
11KA Akureyri225512-1320
12IBV Vestmannaeyjar224612-1318

More Úrvalsdeild predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Valur Reykjavik vs Keflavik?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Valur Reykjavik vs Keflavik?

On our numbers Valur Reykjavik have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Keflavik 34%.

How many goals will there be in Valur Reykjavik vs Keflavik?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Valur Reykjavik vs Keflavik?

Our predicted score is Valur Reykjavik 2–1 Keflavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Valur Reykjavik vs Keflavik?

Valur Reykjavik vs Keflavik (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.