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FH hafnarfjordur v Stjarnan: numbers & prediction

Úrvalsdeild · Iceland · Kaplakriki
2–2
FT
FH hafnarfjordur 40%Draw 22%Stjarnan 38% Expected goals 1.90 – 1.79
72%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultFH hafnarfjordur to win ✗40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.28
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.38

FH hafnarfjordur vs Stjarnan: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:15 WAT, Friday 3 July: FH hafnarfjordur v Stjarnan in the Úrvalsdeild, played at Kaplakriki. In the table, FH hafnarfjordur are 3rd on 30 points after 27 matches; Stjarnan are 1st with 34.

Current form

FH hafnarfjordur, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with IBV Vestmannaeyjar, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Stjarnan, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over KA Akureyri, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Apr 2026) it ended Stjarnan 3–2 FH hafnarfjordur.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FH hafnarfjordur 1.9 xG, Stjarnan 1.8 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 70% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FH hafnarfjordur 40%, draw 22%, Stjarnan 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.28.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: FH hafnarfjordur 2–1 Stjarnan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FH hafnarfjordur40%fair 2.51 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @4.00
Stjarnan38%fair 2.60 · @2.45
3.69Expected goals
1.90FH hafnarfjordur xG
1.79Stjarnan xG
70%Both score
72%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–18%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%

From our goals model: FH hafnarfjordur 1.9 – 1.8 Stjarnan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFH hafnarfjordur to win ✗40%2.512.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓70%1.421.28
Draw no betFH hafnarfjordur (draw no bet)51%1.96–
Asian handicapStjarnan +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72%1.401.30
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓52%1.931.77
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓67%1.481.42
First team to scoreFH hafnarfjordur to score first50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓35%2.86–
Half-time / full-timeHT FH hafnarfjordur / FT FH hafnarfjordur ✗25%3.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.38–

Recent results

FH hafnarfjordur – last 6

DDWLLL
28 Junvs IBV Vestmannaeyjar1–1D
21 Junvs Thor Akureyri1–1D
14 Jun@ Keflavik2–1W
29 Mayvs IA Akranes0–1L
22 May@ Vikingur Reykjavik0–5L
17 Mayvs KA Akureyri1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Stjarnan – last 6

WLDLWL
28 Junvs KA Akureyri3–1W
21 Jun@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar1–2L
16 Junvs Breidablik4–4D
10 Jun@ Afturelding1–3L
31 May@ Thor Akureyri3–1W
26 Mayvs Vikingur Reykjavik1–3L
2.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Apr 2026Stjarnan v FH hafnarfjordur3–2
FH hafnarfjordur vs Stjarnan head-to-head page →

Úrvalsdeild table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik221651+4653
2Fram Reykjavik221363+1445
3KR Reykjavik221354+2544
4Breidablik22868+230
5IA Akranes22868-230
6Keflavik228410-528
7Stjarnan228410-828
8Valur Reykjavik228311-627
9FH hafnarfjordur22499-1221
10Thor Akureyri226313-2821
11KA Akureyri225512-1320
12IBV Vestmannaeyjar224612-1318

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FH hafnarfjordur vs Stjarnan?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win FH hafnarfjordur vs Stjarnan?

On our numbers FH hafnarfjordur have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Stjarnan 38%.

How many goals will there be in FH hafnarfjordur vs Stjarnan?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FH hafnarfjordur vs Stjarnan?

Our predicted score is FH hafnarfjordur 2–1 Stjarnan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is FH hafnarfjordur vs Stjarnan?

FH hafnarfjordur vs Stjarnan (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Friday 3 July 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Kaplakriki.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.