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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Keflavik v Fram Reykjavik: numbers & prediction

Úrvalsdeild · Iceland
1–1
FT
Keflavik 30%Draw 20%Fram Reykjavik 51% Expected goals 1.73 – 2.07
72%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultFram Reykjavik to win ✗51% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗72% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.09

Keflavik vs Fram Reykjavik: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:15 WAT, Monday 6 July: Keflavik v Fram Reykjavik in the Úrvalsdeild. In the table, Keflavik are 6th on 30 points after 27 matches; Fram Reykjavik are 3rd with 47. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Keflavik, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over KR Reykjavik, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Fram Reykjavik, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over IA Akranes, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Momentum favours Fram Reykjavik, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Keflavik.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Apr 2026) it ended Fram Reykjavik 3–1 Keflavik. The last 2 head-to-heads: Keflavik 1 win, Fram Reykjavik 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 5.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Keflavik 1.7 xG, Fram Reykjavik 2.1 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 70% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Keflavik 30%, draw 20%, Fram Reykjavik 51%.
  • GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.33.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Keflavik 1–2 Fram Reykjavik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Keflavik30%fair 3.38 · @3.20
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @4.00
Fram Reykjavik51%fair 1.97 · @1.85
3.81Expected goals
1.73Keflavik xG
2.07Fram Reykjavik xG
70%Both score
72%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–28%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%

From our goals model: Keflavik 1.7 – 2.1 Fram Reykjavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFram Reykjavik to win ✗51%1.971.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80%1.251.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓70%1.441.33
Draw no betFram Reykjavik (draw no bet)63%1.58–
Asian handicapKeflavik +1 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗72%1.401.33
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗51%1.961.90
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓68%1.481.36
First team to scoreFram Reykjavik to score first53%1.88–
Half-time resultFram Reykjavik ahead at half-time ✗37%2.70–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fram Reykjavik / FT Fram Reykjavik ✗29%3.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.09–

Recent results

Keflavik – last 6

WDLLWD
28 Junvs KR Reykjavik3–2W
21 Jun@ Valur Reykjavik1–1D
14 Junvs FH hafnarfjordur1–2L
31 May@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar1–6L
22 Mayvs Thor Akureyri1–0W
17 Mayvs Stjarnan1–1D
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Fram Reykjavik – last 6

WLWWWD
29 Jun@ IA Akranes2–0W
21 Junvs Vikingur Reykjavik0–5L
15 Jun@ KA Akureyri4–3W
29 Mayvs Breidablik4–3W
22 May@ Stjarnan1–0W
17 May@ KR Reykjavik2–2D
2.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Apr 2026Fram Reykjavik v Keflavik3–1
6 Mar 2026Keflavik v Fram Reykjavik4–3
Keflavik vs Fram Reykjavik head-to-head page →

Úrvalsdeild table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik221651+4653
2Fram Reykjavik221363+1445
3KR Reykjavik221354+2544
4Breidablik22868+230
5IA Akranes22868-230
6Keflavik228410-528
7Stjarnan228410-828
8Valur Reykjavik228311-627
9FH hafnarfjordur22499-1221
10Thor Akureyri226313-2821
11KA Akureyri225512-1320
12IBV Vestmannaeyjar224612-1318

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Keflavik vs Fram Reykjavik?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Keflavik vs Fram Reykjavik?

On our numbers Keflavik have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Fram Reykjavik 51%.

How many goals will there be in Keflavik vs Fram Reykjavik?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Keflavik vs Fram Reykjavik?

Our predicted score is Keflavik 1–2 Fram Reykjavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Keflavik vs Fram Reykjavik?

Keflavik vs Fram Reykjavik (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Monday 6 July 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.