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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fram Reykjavik v Thor Akureyri: numbers & prediction

Úrvalsdeild · Iceland
6–1
FT
Fram Reykjavik 66%Draw 19%Thor Akureyri 15% Expected goals 2.56 – 1.27
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultFram Reykjavik to win ✓66% · @1.30
Double chanceFram Reykjavik or draw ✓85% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.06

Fram Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Sunday 12 July: Fram Reykjavik v Thor Akureyri in the Úrvalsdeild. In the table, Fram Reykjavik are 3rd on 47 points after 27 matches; Thor Akureyri are 4th with 30. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Fram Reykjavik, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Keflavik, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Thor Akureyri, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with KR Reykjavik, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Fram Reykjavik, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.3 for Thor Akureyri.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Apr 2026) it ended Thor Akureyri 1–0 Fram Reykjavik.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fram Reykjavik 2.6 xG, Thor Akureyri 1.3 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 75% for three or more goals, 68% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fram Reykjavik 66%, draw 19%, Thor Akureyri 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fram Reykjavik 2–1 Thor Akureyri. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fram Reykjavik66%fair 1.51 · @1.30
Draw19%fair 5.32 · @5.50
Thor Akureyri15%fair 6.63 · @6.75
3.82Expected goals
2.56Fram Reykjavik xG
1.27Thor Akureyri xG
68%Both score
75%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
1–17%
3–06%
2–26%

From our goals model: Fram Reykjavik 2.6 – 1.3 Thor Akureyri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFram Reykjavik to win ✓66%1.511.30
Double chanceFram Reykjavik or draw ✓85%1.181.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓68%1.461.40
Draw no betFram Reykjavik (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapFram Reykjavik -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75%1.331.22
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓55%1.811.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗63%1.581.55
First team to scoreFram Reykjavik to score first65%1.53–
Half-time resultFram Reykjavik ahead at half-time ✓49%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fram Reykjavik / FT Fram Reykjavik ✓43%2.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.06–

Recent results

Fram Reykjavik – last 6

DWLWWW
6 Jul@ Keflavik1–1D
29 Jun@ IA Akranes2–0W
21 Junvs Vikingur Reykjavik0–5L
15 Jun@ KA Akureyri4–3W
29 Mayvs Breidablik4–3W
22 May@ Stjarnan1–0W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Thor Akureyri – last 6

DLDLLL
2 Julvs KR Reykjavik3–3D
28 Junvs Valur Reykjavik2–4L
21 Jun@ FH hafnarfjordur1–1D
14 Junvs IBV Vestmannaeyjar1–4L
31 Mayvs Stjarnan1–3L
22 May@ Keflavik0–1L
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Apr 2026Thor Akureyri v Fram Reykjavik1–0
Fram Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri head-to-head page →

Úrvalsdeild table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik221651+4653
2Fram Reykjavik221363+1445
3KR Reykjavik221354+2544
4Breidablik22868+230
5IA Akranes22868-230
6Keflavik228410-528
7Stjarnan228410-828
8Valur Reykjavik228311-627
9FH hafnarfjordur22499-1221
10Thor Akureyri226313-2821
11KA Akureyri225512-1320
12IBV Vestmannaeyjar224612-1318

More Úrvalsdeild predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fram Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Fram Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?

On our numbers Fram Reykjavik have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Thor Akureyri 15%.

How many goals will there be in Fram Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fram Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?

Our predicted score is Fram Reykjavik 2–1 Thor Akureyri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Fram Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?

Fram Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.